Champions League
Olympique Marseille - Liverpool
01/21/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.6
1.1
0.6
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
38%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
15%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
62%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Marseille's home strength: 2.18 goals per home game
- Liverpool's unbeaten away streak on natural grass (5 wins, 5 draws)
- Contrasting form: Liverpool is unbeaten in 5 games, while Marseille is inconsistent
风险因素
- Numerous absences, including key players like Mohamed Salah (doubtful), could affect both teams' performance
- The tight head-to-head record (3-2 wins for Liverpool) suggests an open match
- Limited informative value of the league standings due to inconsistent match data (games played = 0)
概述
Olympique Marseille (16th place, 9 points) hosts Liverpool (11th place, 12 points) at the Stade Vélodrome. The Champions League match takes place on January 21, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are fighting for a better position in the league phase.
近期状态
Olympique Marseille shows inconsistent form with LWWLW (3 wins, 2 losses from the last 5 games). Liverpool is more stable with DDDWD and is unbeaten in the last five matches (1 win, 4 draws). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Olympique Marseille is more potent offensively, averaging 2.28 goals per game compared to Liverpool's 1.5. Marseille is particularly dangerous at home, scoring 2.18 goals per game. Liverpool's defense concedes an average of 1.32 goals, while Marseille's is at 1.06.
历史交锋
In 5 previous encounters, Liverpool has a slight edge with 3 wins to Olympique Marseille's 2. The goal difference is 8:4 in favor of Liverpool. The last meeting was won by Liverpool.
关键球员
For Olympique Marseille, Mason Greenwood stands out with 4 goals in the last 5 games. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg is in rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists. For Liverpool, Florian Wirtz is in top form with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches, supported by Dominik Szoboszlai, who has already contributed 3 goals and 3 assists this season.
门将
Gerónimo Rulli is in goal for Olympique Marseille; the team has achieved 6 clean sheets this season. For Liverpool, Alisson is the goalkeeper; his team has managed 7 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The Stade Vélodrome sees an average of 2.6 goals per game. Olympique Marseille is strong at home, having won 6 out of 10 matches on natural grass. Liverpool is unbeaten away from home on this surface (5 wins, 5 draws), posing a significant challenge.