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Europa League

Real Sociedad - AFC Bournemouth

09/17/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Real Sociedad
1.3
Total xG
2.0
AFC Bournemouth
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

15%

0:0

15%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
RSAB

Real Sociedad

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.40
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.12
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.01
全员可用

AFC Bournemouth

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.79
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.39倍)
+0.54
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

33%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

67%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Home advantage and model prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Real Sociedad with a 46% probability of a home win
  • Tactical offensive threat: Real Sociedad averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Low attacking outlook for visitors: The model predicts only 0.76 expected goals for Bournemouth in this match
风险因素
  • Defensive issues on the road: Bournemouth conceded an average of 1.79 goals per away match this season
  • Limited data availability for current player form metrics in the provided dataset
概述

Real Sociedad host AFC Bournemouth at the Anoeta Stadium

Europa League match on September 17, 2026, 7:00 PM

Both teams start with 0 points in the league phase

Real Sociedad sits in 27th place and Bournemouth in 23rd place

近期状态

Real Sociedad showing mixed form of LWDWL in recent matches

The Basque team lost their last match 0-3 against Atlético de Madrid

Bournemouth arrives with a form curve of DLDDD and three consecutive draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Real Sociedad scored an average of 1.55 goals and conceded 1.61 over 38 season games

The Basque side averages 1.54 goals scored in home games

AFC Bournemouth scored an average of 1.53 goals per match

In away matches Bournemouth concedes an average of 1.79 goals

Both teams scored in 30 out of 38 games played by the home team

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head matches recorded in the dataset

This is the first meeting between these two teams in the Europa League

关键球员

Mikel Oyarzabal impresses with 11 goals and 5 assists in 23 home matches

Orri Óskarsson has scored 8 goals in 17 appearances at the Anoeta Stadium

Ander Barrenetxea contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 22 home games

Evanilson, Justin Kluivert and Marcus Tavernier are named in Bournemouth's starting lineup

门将

Unai Marrero guards the home goal, holding a strong average rating of 8.34 at the Anoeta Stadium

The Basque team kept 3 clean sheets this season

Djordje Petrovic starts in goal for Bournemouth

The English side recorded 11 clean sheets in total

影响因素

Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.54 goals per home game at the Anoeta Stadium

The natural grass pitch offers familiar conditions for the hosts

The visitors' defensive struggles on the road are shown by an average of 1.79 conceded goals

Weather data is not available for this match

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