Europa League
Sunderland - AZ
09/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
14%2:0
11%2:1
8%xG 分解
Sunderland
AZ
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
32%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: AZ averaged 8.2 shots on target and 60% possession in recent matches
- Strong form of AZ: The visitors travel with 4 wins and a draw from their last 5 games
- Predicted advantage: The model calculates a home win probability of 48% for Sunderland
风险因素
- Away defense: AZ concedes an average of 2.27 goals per away game
- Stalling offense: Sunderland's goal production currently averages 1.0 goals per game
概述
Sunderland (5th place, 0 points) host AZ (13th place, 0 points) at the Stadium of Light
Europa League match on September 16, 2026, 8:00 PM
Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 48%
近期状态
Sunderland form: WLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Sunderland recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches
AZ form: WWWWD
AZ is unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw
统计数据
Sunderland averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per season match
At home, the hosts score an average of 1.09 goals and concede 0.87
AZ averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match
In away matches, AZ concedes an average of 2.27 goals
关键球员
Granit Xhaka (rating of 7.17 at Stadium of Light) controls the midfield
Enzo Le Fée contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in 21 home appearances
Nordi Mukiele recorded 2 goals and 3 assists with a 7.10 venue rating
Jari De Busser starts as goalkeeper in the lineup
Wouter Goes and Peer Koopmeiners secure key defensive positions
门将
Robin Roefs starts in goal for Sunderland with a venue rating of 6.90
He kept 7 clean sheets in home games over the season
Jari De Busser starts for AZ, recording 5 clean sheets in away games
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at the Stadium of Light
Historical matches at this venue average 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in only 20% of past games at this venue