Champions League
Monaco - Juventus
01/28/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.4
2.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
15%
平局
50%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
20%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
85%
非平局
50%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Drastic form discrepancy: Juventus's strong run (4 wins in 5 games) meets Monaco's deep crisis (no wins in 5 games)
- Defensive stability vs. vulnerability: Juventus concedes only 0.77 goals on average, while Monaco is very vulnerable with 1.74 goals against per game
- Critical weakening of both teams: Both sides have only a fraction of their goal-scoring threat available (Monaco 29%, Juventus 40%), which heavily neutralizes their offensive power and favors an unpredictable match
风险因素
- Extreme impact from injuries: The high number of absences for both teams makes their offensive performance and the match outcome very difficult to predict
- Potential fatigue for Juventus: With only three days of rest since their last match, Juventus could show signs of exhaustion, especially with a depleted squad
概述
Monaco (21st place, 9 points) hosts Juventus (15th place, 12 points) at the Stade Louis II. for a Champions League match on January 28, 2026, at 9:00 PM. Although both teams are in the middle of the table, Juventus enters the match as the favorite due to their significantly better form.
近期状态
The form curves of the two teams could hardly be more different
Monaco: LLLLD - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in the last 5 games
Juventus: WWLWW - 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games
Juventus is in clearly superior form, while Monaco is experiencing a persistent crisis (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss).
统计数据
The statistics paint a clear picture
Monaco scores an average of 1.47 goals per game this season but also concedes 1.74
Juventus is similarly strong offensively with 1.59 goals per game, but far superior defensively with only 0.77 goals conceded
Juventus has already kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Monaco has only managed 3.
历史交锋
The historical record speaks clearly in favor of Juventus
In 4 direct encounters, Monaco has not won a single game, while Juventus was victorious 3 times and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference of 5:1 also underscores Juventus's dominance
The last meeting on May 9, 2017, was won by Juventus 2-1.
关键球员
Folarin Balogun is an important player for Monaco with 3 season goals
For Juventus, Weston McKennie with 3 goals and Kenan Yıldız with 3 assists stand out
Jonathan David has also shown rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist, making him a decisive factor for the visitors.
门将
Philipp Köhn is expected in goal for Monaco, playing behind a defense that has kept 3 clean sheets this season
For Juventus, Michele Di Gregorio is between the posts, whose team has already kept a clean sheet 9 times, highlighting their defensive strength.
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Stade Louis II.
Monaco's home record on this surface is weak, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses
Juventus, on the other hand, has a strong away record on natural grass with 8 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss
The stadium statistics suggest an entertaining match, with an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent fixtures.