Europa League
Sturm Graz - Rennes
09/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
14%2:0
11%2:1
8%xG 分解
Sturm Graz
Rennes
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
31%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Offensive surge: Rennes is scoring more frequently recently averaging 2.4 goals compared to their season average of 1.83
- Rest advantage: Sturm Graz enters fresh after 36 days of rest, while Rennes had only 5 days of recovery
- Tactical efficiency: Rennes averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches with balanced possession
风险因素
- Limited data available on historical head-to-head matches and player statistics for Rennes
- Away vulnerability: Rennes concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
- Squad limitations: Sturm Graz starts with heavily reduced squad metrics according to the provided dataset
概述
Sturm Graz (25th place) host Rennes (17th place) at the Merkur Arena
Europa League match on September 16, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams start with zero points in this league phase
Mathematical analysis favors Sturm Graz with a 49% win probability
近期状态
Sturm Graz enters with a WWWLL form after two consecutive losses
Rennes travels with a strong WDWWW form and three consecutive wins
The visitors show a more stable trend in recent matches
统计数据
Sturm Graz scored an average of 1.59 goals and conceded 1.09 per game this season
Rennes averages 1.74 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per match
Rennes concedes an average of 1.94 goals in away games
历史交锋
No previous meetings in the provided dataset
关键球员
Albert Vallci secures Sturm Graz's defense and recently scored one goal
Jacob Peter Hödl (season rating 6.59) operates in midfield
Belmin Beganovic features as forward with a 6.43 rating
门将
Daniil Khudyakov starts in goal for Sturm Graz (season rating 6.89)
Brice Samba starts between the posts for Rennes
Sturm Graz kept 12 clean sheets this season, while Rennes secured 10
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass
Merkur Arena saw an average of 1.4 goals per match over the last 5 games
Sturm Graz has a significant rest advantage with 36 days since their last match compared to Rennes' 5 days