Champions League
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Villarreal
01/28/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.7
1.7
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
53%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
40%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
47%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Severely weakened squads: Both teams have only a fraction of their normal goal threat available (Leverkusen 23%, Villarreal 14%), making the prediction difficult
- Tactical contrast: Leverkusen's dominant possession (59%) meets Villarreal's counter-attacking style (37%)
- Form crisis vs. History: Villarreal is in a crisis with three consecutive losses but has a strong historical record against Leverkusen
风险因素
- High unpredictability due to absences: The massive number of missing players on both sides makes the game's outcome very difficult to predict
- Villarreal's negative form: Three consecutive losses could affect Villarreal's confidence
- Leverkusen's defensive vulnerability: The home team has conceded an average of 1.6 goals in recent games
概述
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (20th place, 9 points) host Villarreal (35th place, 1 point) at the BayArena for a Champions League match on January 28, 2026, at 9:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table and urgently need points to improve their position.
近期状态
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WLLLW
Based on the last 5 matches, there were 2 wins and 3 losses
Villarreal: WWLLL
In the last 5 games, there were 2 wins and 3 losses
Villarreal has lost the last 3 consecutive matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Over the entire season, both teams' offensive performances are comparable, with a scoring average of 1.94 for Leverkusen and 1.85 for Villarreal
Defensively, Villarreal appears slightly more stable with an average of 1.05 goals conceded per game, compared to Leverkusen's 1.39
In home games, Leverkusen scores an average of 2.0 goals and concedes 1.0
Away, Villarreal scores an average of 1.75 goals while conceding 1.5
In 11 of Leverkusen's 18 matches, there were over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the 4 previous head-to-head encounters, Bayer 04 Leverkusen has never won against Villarreal
Villarreal has won 3 matches, while one game ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Villarreal at 7:3
The last meeting in March 2016 ended in a 0-0 draw
关键球员
Alejandro Grimaldo is a key player for Leverkusen with 3 goals and 1 assist this season
Patrik Schick and Aleix García have each contributed 2 goals for the home team
For Villarreal, Alberto Moleiro stands out, having scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games
Tani Oluwaseyi has scored 2 goals for the visitors this season
门将
Leverkusen's first-choice goalkeeper Mark Flekken is injured; Janis Blaswich will replace him
The Bayer 04 Leverkusen team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Villarreal, with goalkeepers Luiz Júnior and Arnau Tenas, has managed 7 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The BayArena has an average of 3.0 goals per game, based on the last five matches
In 60% of these games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored
Both teams are accustomed to natural grass, which gives neither side a particular advantage