Super League
Lugano - Luzern
03/07/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
Lugano
Luzern
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
28%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Historical Dominance: Lugano has won all 5 head-to-head matches against Luzern
- Luzern's Attacking Strength: Luzern is currently scoring more frequently (2.8) than their season average (2.0)
- Balanced Forecast: The mathematical analysis predicts a very tight match with a 37% home win, 28% draw, and 35% away win
风险因素
- Both teams have only 3 days since their last match, indicating potential fatigue
- Luzern concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game
概述
Lugano (3rd place, 49 points) host Luzern (7th place, 33 points) at the Stadio di Cornaredo
Super League match on March 7, 2026, 8:30 PM
Lugano is in the upper half of the table, while Luzern fights to catch up to the European qualification spots
近期状态
Lugano's form in the last five games across all competitions is 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (DDWLW)
Their last result was a 2-1 win against Sion
Luzern shows a form of 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games (WWWLL)
Luzern lost their last two matches 1-2 against Young Boys and Thun, respectively
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Lugano scored an average of 1.61 goals per game and conceded 1.18 goals
Luzern scored an average of 1.93 goals per game and conceded 1.89 goals
Lugano kept 7 clean sheets, Luzern 4
In Lugano's home games, an average of 1.65 goals were scored, with 0.88 goals conceded
Luzern conceded an average of 1.83 goals in away games
At the Stadio di Cornaredo, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano recorded 5 wins, Luzern 0 wins, and there were 0 draws
Lugano scored a total of 15 goals, Luzern 3
The last encounter on January 17, 2026, ended in a 5-2 victory for Lugano
Lugano has been dominant in recent meetings
关键球员
For Lugano, Kevin Behrens (11 goals, 1 assist), Anto Grgic (6 goals, 5 assists), and Uran Bislimi (5 goals, 3 assists) are important players
Kevin Behrens showed stable form in his last 2 games with 1 goal
Anto Grgic showed rising form with 1 goal in his last game
For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto (9 goals, 10 assists), Oscar Kabwit (6 goals, 4 assists), and Adrian Grbic (6 goals, 1 assist) are the key players
Matteo Di Giusto recently showed rising form with 1 goal in his last game
Oscar Kabwit recently showed declining form with 1 goal in his last game
门将
Lugano will start with David von Ballmoos in goal, who has 7 clean sheets this season
Luzern's goalkeeper is Pascal Loretz, who achieved 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Stadio di Cornaredo averages 3.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%
Lugano shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.65 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded
The pitch surface is grass