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Champions League

Como - RB Leipzig

09/10/2026, 07:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Como
1.4
Total xG
2.3
RB Leipzig
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
COMRL

Como

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.91
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.35
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.09
全员可用

RB Leipzig

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
-0.40
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.11
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.54
+0.54
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

31%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

69%

双方进球

是

46%

否

54%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: Como recently averaged 6.8 shots on target per game
  • Defensive contrast: Como concedes an average of only 0.75 goals at home, while Leipzig concedes an average of 2.08 goals away
  • Form curve: Como is recently unbeaten in 5 matches (WWDWW), while Leipzig has been inconsistent (LWLWL)
风险因素
  • Short recovery time: RB Leipzig plays the match with only 5 days of rest since their last game
  • Away weakness: RB Leipzig concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
  • Limited data on historical head-to-head matches
概述

Como (13th place, 0 points) host RB Leipzig (20th place, 0 points)

Champions League match on September 10, 2026, 9:00 PM

The model predicts Como as the favorite with a 47% win probability

近期状态

Como is in strong form with the string WWDWW

The hosts recently recorded 4 wins and 1 draw

RB Leipzig travels with inconsistent form of LWLWL

The visitors recently recorded 2 wins and 3 losses

统计数据

Como scores an average of 1.71 goals per game this season

Como's defense is stable, conceding only 0.76 goals per match

RB Leipzig scores an average of 1.94 goals while conceding 1.38 per game

The visitors concede an average of 2.08 goals away from home

关键球员

Anastasios Douvikas has already scored 11 goals in home games

Nico Paz contributed 6 goals and 3 assists in home matches

Christopher Nkunku has already scored once in his appearances at this venue

门将

Jean Butez plays in goal for Como and contributed to 19 clean sheets this season

Maarten Vandevoordt guards the goal for RB Leipzig, which kept 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Como has a home average of 1.75 goals scored per game at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

The stadium averages 3.2 goals per game

According to advancedStats, Como is currently scoring more frequently than their season average

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