Super League
St. Gallen - Basel
03/08/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.7
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
St. Gallen
Basel
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
22%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for Basel: Only 47% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Xherdan Shaqiri (10G/10A) and Keigo Tsunemoto (1G/1A) not in the lineup
- St. Gallen's current offensive form is positive: They are currently scoring more often (2.5) than their season average (2.1)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for St. Gallen with a probability of 56%
风险因素
- Both teams have only 3 days rest since their last match, which could indicate fatigue
- Basel's goal production is currently stagnant (1.2) and below their season average (1.6)
- The historical record shows a tendency for draws, with 3 stalemates in the last 5 direct encounters
概述
St. Gallen (2nd place, 51 points) host Basel (4th place, 46 points) at Kybunpark
Super League match on March 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
St. Gallen aims to consolidate its top table position and reduce the gap to the leaders
Basel is fighting to catch up to the European qualification spots
近期状态
St. Gallen's current form is DWDWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They have achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games
Most recently, they drew 2-2 away against Thun and won 2-1 at home against Winterthur
Basel's form is LDLWW
They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Most recently, they won 1-0 at home against Grasshopper and 2-1 away against Lausanne Sport
统计数据
St. Gallen has scored an average of 1.96 goals per game this season and conceded 1.25 goals
They kept 7 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 20 matches
Basel has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded 1.25 goals
They kept 8 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 16 matches
In home games, St. Gallen scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 1.31 goals
In away games, Basel scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded 1.60 goals
At Kybunpark, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored
In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for St. Gallen, 1 win for Basel, and 3 draws
The goal difference is 6:6
The last encounter on November 30, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
关键球员
St. Gallen will rely on the performance of Alessandro Vogt (14 season goals, 3 assists)
Carlo Boukhalfa contributed 10 season goals and 3 assists
Lukas Görtler recorded 5 season goals and 8 assists
For Basel, Bénie Traoré is an important player with 7 season goals
Giacomo Koloto has scored 2 season goals
Julien Duranville contributed 1 season goal and 1 assist
门将
Lawrence Ati Zigi of St. Gallen played in 25 games and kept 7 clean sheets
Marwin Hitz of Basel played 26 games and kept 8 clean sheets
影响因素
St. Gallen benefits from its home advantage, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded in home games
An average of 3.2 goals per game are scored at Kybunpark
Furthermore, both teams scored in 80% of games at Kybunpark, and 80% of games ended with over 2.5 goals