Friendly International

Uzbekistan - Iran

09/24/2026, 02:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Uzbekistan
1.3
Total xG
3.0
Iran
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
UZBIRA

Uzbekistan

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.26

Iran

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.64倍)
+0.74
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.14
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

27%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Contrast in recent form: Iran is unbeaten in their last 5 matches while Uzbekistan suffered 5 consecutive losses
  • Iranian offensive form: The visitors currently average 2.8 goals, exceeding their season average of 2.4
  • Struggling home attack: Uzbekistan recently averaged just 1.6 shots on target per match
风险因素
  • Historically low-scoring matches at the Milliy Stadion with an average of just 1.8 goals per game
  • Strong home defense of Uzbekistan conceding only 0.38 goals per home match
  • Vulnerable away defense of Iran conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away match
概述

Uzbekistan face Iran at the Milliy Stadion

Friendly International on September 24, 2026, 4:00 PM

Iran enter the match as the mathematical favorites with a 46% win probability

近期状态

Uzbekistan show a weak form curve of LLLLL

The home side suffered 5 consecutive defeats in their last matches

Iran present a stable form curve of WWDDD

The visitors remain undefeated in their last 5 fixtures

统计数据

Uzbekistan average 1.69 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per season match

At home they average 1.75 goals scored and just 0.38 goals conceded

Iran average 2.19 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded per match

Away from home Iran concede an average of 1.5 goals per match

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match is recorded between these teams

Their last encounter on November 18, 2025, ended in a 0:0 draw

An evenly balanced historical record between both nations

关键球员

Eldor Shomurodov scored 3 goals in his last 5 appearances

Bekhruz Karimov recorded 1 goal and 1 assist with a rising form trend

Mehdi Taremi led the visitors with 3 goals in his last 5 matches

门将

Vladimir Nazarov is named in goal for Uzbekistan

Alireza Beiranvand features in goal for Iran with a rising form trend and a 7.23 rating

Uzbekistan registered 10 clean sheets this season compared to 9 for Iran

影响因素

Home advantage for Uzbekistan at the Milliy Stadion

Venue history indicates a low average of 1.8 goals per match

The friendly match will be played on natural grass

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