Friendly International

Russia - Nigeria

10/06/2026, 04:00 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Russia
1.4
Total xG
2.8
Nigeria
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RUSNIG

Russia

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.37
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15

Nigeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
+0.36
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
Akor Adams替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

28%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

59%

否

41%

关键因素
  • Critical absence: Only 52% of Nigeria's seasonal goal threat is active as Akor Adams is missing
  • Tactical dominance: Russia averaged 7.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Balanced model: The predicted win probability is almost even with 36% for Russia and 35% for Nigeria
风险因素
  • Short recovery: Russia have only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Low offensive efficiency: Nigeria averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game recently
概述

Russia host Nigeria in an international friendly match

Played at Gazprom Arena on October 6, 2026, at 6:00 PM

A highly balanced encounter is expected

近期状态

Russia show the form LWWWW with four consecutive wins recently

Nigeria travel with the form WDWDL

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Russia score an average of 2.43 goals at home and conceded only one goal in 7 home games

Nigeria score an average of 1.75 goals and concede 1.25 goals per away game

历史交锋

There has been one head-to-head match in June 2025

The game ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Lechi Sadulaev scored 3 goals in 6 matches with an average rating of 7.22

Aleksey Miranchuk has been in good form with a rating of 7.26

Moses Simon scored 2 goals in 3 appearances this season

门将

Aleksandr Maksimenko starts in goal for Russia

Samuel Friday James plays as goalkeeper for Nigeria

Russia kept 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass

Light rain and temperatures around 12°C are expected

Russia's strong home record is a significant factor

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