Friendly International
Argentina - Burkina Faso
10/04/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
10%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Argentina
Burkina Faso
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
27%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Limited squad: Burkina Faso enters the match with only 0% of their usual starting XI strength
- Possession and offense: Argentina averaged 58.2% possession and 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis estimates a home win probability of 53%
风险因素
- High workload: Argentina has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Squad absence: Lionel Messi is missing from the hosts' squad
- Limited data coverage for Burkina Faso's xG values
概述
Argentina faces Burkina Faso in an international friendly at the Estadio Monumental
The match is scheduled for October 4, 2026, 12:00 AM
The mathematical analysis favors the hosts with a 53% win probability
近期状态
Argentina is in strong form with four wins and one loss in their last five matches
Their current form is WWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Most recently, they achieved a clear 4-0 victory against Bolivia
Burkina Faso shows a more balanced record with two wins, two draws, and one loss (Form: WWDLD)
统计数据
Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored and only 0.56 goals conceded per match this season
In home matches, their goals conceded rate drops to a strong 0.33 per game while scoring 1.67 goals
Burkina Faso scores an average of 2.3 goals per game and concedes 0.8 goals
In away matches, their scoring average stands at 2.17 goals per game
关键球员
Lautaro Martínez shines with two season goals, one assist, and a rating of 7.49
Nico Paz also contributed two goals and one assist in four appearances (Rating: 7.72)
Alexis Mac Allister provided two assists and holds a rating of 7.08
For Burkina Faso, Chec Bebel Doumbia is registered with no appearances this season
门将
Emiliano Martínez guards the goal for Argentina, boasting 11 clean sheets this season
His form trend is rising with a recent rating of 7.10
Cyrille Dao is named in the lineup for Burkina Faso
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Monumental under comfortable 20.81°C temperatures and scattered clouds
Historical venue statistics show an average of 2.33 goals per match
Both teams scored in two of the three matches played at this location