Friendly International

Argentina - Bolivia

10/01/2026, 12:00 AM

4 : 0
预期进球
Argentina
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Bolivia
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ARGBOL

Argentina

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.67
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.13
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.01
Lionel Messi 未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

Bolivia

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.04
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

30%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

46%

否

54%

关键因素
  • Defensive mismatch: Argentina concedes only 0.56 goals per game, while Bolivia struggled immensely on the road, conceding 7.00 goals per away match
  • Tactical dominance: Argentina averaged 57% possession and 5.8 shots on target per match in recent performances
  • Head-to-head superiority: Argentina secured victories in 4 of the last 5 encounters, highlighted by a dominant 6-0 win in their last meeting
风险因素
  • Lionel Messi is missing from the squad, leaving Argentina with only 66% of their seasonal goal threat
  • Lack of match rhythm: Argentina played their last competitive match 74 days ago
  • Offensive struggles for Bolivia: The visitors failed to score in 8 out of 18 matches this season
概述

Friendly International match on October 1, 2026 at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

Argentina hosts Bolivia in an international test match

The home side enters the match as clear favorites

近期状态

Argentina is in solid shape with a form of WWWWL

They recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Bolivia travels with a poor form of WLLLL

The visitors have suffered 4 consecutive defeats recently

统计数据

Argentina scores an average of 1.72 goals and concedes 0.56 per match

Bolivia averages 0.94 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded

Bolivia's defense is highly vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 7.00 goals per away game

历史交锋

There are 5 head-to-head matches on record

Argentina dominates the history with 4 wins compared to 1 win for Bolivia

Their last duel on October 16, 2024 ended in a commanding 6-0 victory for Argentina

关键球员

Lautaro Martínez is in great form with a 7.52 rating and 4 goals in his last 5 matches

Nico Paz contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Gianluca Prestianni has been effective with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances

Ramiro Vaca leads Bolivia with a season rating of 6.56

Robson Matheus starts in midfield with a 5.95 rating

Roberto Fernández features in defense with a 6.12 average rating

门将

Emiliano Martínez starts for Argentina, holding a 6.87 rating and 11 clean sheets this season

Guillermo Viscarra is in goal for Bolivia, keeping 6 clean sheets with a 6.3 rating

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón

The venue averages 2.6 total goals per game

Argentina remains very stable at home, conceding only 0.33 goals per home game

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