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Super League

Young Boys - Thun

03/08/2026, 03:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Young Boys
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Thun
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
YBTHU

Young Boys

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.67
防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.25
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.19
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.19
Alan Virginius替补席 (4球, 6助攻)

Thun

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.38
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.09
Fabio Fehr替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Valmir Matoshi替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
Mattias Käit未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Jan Bamert未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

29%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Balanced prediction: Mathematical analysis sees almost no favorite (home win 36%, away win 36%)
  • Thun's dominance: As league leaders with 65 points and a strong offense (avg 2.29 goals), Thun is hard to beat
  • Offensive strength: Both teams show a positive trend in attacking performance (Young Boys recently 2.6 goals instead of 2.0, Thun recently 2.6 instead of 2.3 goals)
风险因素
  • Short recovery time: Thun has only 3 days of rest since the last match
概述

Young Boys (6th place, 42 points) host Thun (1st place, 65 points) at Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Super League match on March 8, 2026, 4:30 PM

Thun leads the table convincingly, while Young Boys are fighting for a spot in international competitions

近期状态

Young Boys' current form (LWLWW) shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games

Thun is in excellent form (WWWWD) with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Young Boys won their last two home games consecutively

Thun is unbeaten in 5 games, with the streak ending in a draw

Young Boys' last 5 results include Luzern (2:1 Win), Zürich (3:0 Win), Sion (1:3 Loss), Winterthur (6:1 Win) and St. Gallen (1:2 Loss)

Thun's last 5 results include St. Gallen (2:2 Draw), Luzern (2:1 Win), Winterthur (3:0 Win), Sion (1:0 Win) and Lausanne Sport (5:1 Win)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Young Boys average 2.04 goals scored per game and concede 1.89 goals per game this season

At home, Young Boys are offensively strong with an average of 2.06 goals scored and concede 1.0 goals

Thun averages 2.29 goals scored per match and concedes 1.11 goals

Away from home, Thun is strong offensively with an average of 2.31 goals scored and defensively with 1.0 goals conceded

Young Boys kept 6 clean sheets, Thun also 6 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 19 Young Boys matches and 20 Thun matches

Young Boys had over 2.5 goals in 22 matches, Thun also in 22 matches

In the last 5 games at Stadion Wankdorf, an average of 3.6 goals were scored per game

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and 4 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys recorded 3 wins and Thun 2 wins

Young Boys scored 13 goals, while Thun scored 9 goals

The last encounter on January 25, 2026, ended with a 4:1 victory for Thun

The recent head-to-head record is described as dominant for the home team

关键球员

For Young Boys, Christian Fassnacht is a key midfielder with 15 goals and 7 assists in 27 appearances

Alvyn Sanches contributed 5 goals and 5 assists in 18 appearances

Edimilson Fernandes showed his influence with 2 goals and 5 assists in 19 games

For Thun, Elmin Rastoder is a key attacker with 11 goals and 4 assists in 27 appearances

Leonardo Bertone has scored 9 goals and provided 1 assist in 25 appearances

Kastriot Imeri is an important midfielder with 6 goals and 6 assists in 22 games

门将

Marvin Keller is in goal for Young Boys, achieving an average rating of 6.81 and 6 clean sheets this season

For Thun, Niklas Steffen is the goalkeeper, with an average rating of 6.96 and 4 clean sheets in away games

影响因素

Young Boys have a home advantage with an average of 2.06 goals scored and only 1.0 goals conceded in home matches

Stadion Wankdorf (Bern) records an average of 3.6 goals per game

In 2 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 4 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

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