Friendly International
Morocco - Mali
10/04/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Morocco
Mali
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Squad weakness: Achraf Hakimi is not in the squad, leaving Morocco with only 59% of their usual starting strength
- Tactical dominance: Morocco recently dominated play, averaging 61% possession and 4.6 shots on target per match
- Goal trends: While Morocco's goal production recently slowed to 1.8 goals per game, Mali scored consistently, averaging 2.1 goals
风险因素
- Achraf Hakimi is missing, leaving only 59% of Morocco's usual starting strength available
- Lack of recent match practice due to extremely long breaks of 87 days for Morocco and 187 days for Mali since their last matches
- Mali showed low offensive efficiency recently, averaging only 3.2 shots on target per match
概述
Morocco faces Mali in an international friendly match
The match takes place on October 4, 2026, 6:00 PM at Stade Mohamed V
The mathematical analysis estimates a home win probability of 45% for Morocco
近期状态
Morocco shows a recent form of WWDWL
The last match of Morocco ended in a loss
Mali has a recent form of LWWDD
The last two matches of Mali ended in a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Morocco averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded per match this season
In home games, Morocco scored an average of 2.5 goals per match
Mali recorded a season average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match
Away from home, Mali conceded only 0.33 goals per game on average
历史交锋
No historical head-to-head records between these two teams are available in the provided dataset
关键球员
Ismael Saibari stands out with a season rating of 7.53 and 2 goals scored
Neil El Aynaoui contributed 2 goals for Morocco this season
Azzedine Ounahi scored 2 goals in his last 5 matches
Mamadou Samassa leads Mali with an outstanding season rating of 8.15
Ousmane Camara provided 1 assist over his last 5 appearances
Lassana Coulibaly scored 2 goals and added 1 assist in his last 5 games
门将
Yassine Bounou has an average rating of 6.76 in 3 season appearances
Mamadou Samassa holds a season rating of 8.15 in 1 appearance
Morocco achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Mali recorded 5 clean sheets in their seasonal games
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Stade Mohamed V
The venue history shows an average of 3.0 goals per match
Current weather reports 22.62°C with overcast clouds and 90% humidity