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Super League

St. Gallen - Lugano

03/17/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
St. Gallen
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Lugano
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SGLUG

St. Gallen

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.53
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.14
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.14
Alessandro Vogt未进大名单 (14球, 3助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Lugano

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.07
Kevin Behrens未进大名单 (11球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

28%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • St. Gallen's strong home offense (Avg. 2.07 goals per home game) meets Lugano's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 1.64 goals conceded per away game)
  • St. Gallen is in excellent form (3 wins, 2 draws in their last 5 games), while Lugano's form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) is weaker
  • The historical record favors St. Gallen, who dominated the last 5 direct encounters (3 wins, 2 draws)
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for tackling statistics in the last 5 games of both teams
概述

St. Gallen (2nd place, 54 points) host Lugano (3rd place, 49 points) at Kybunpark

Super League match on March 17, 2026, 7:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 42%, while a draw is rated at 28% and an away win at 30%

近期状态

St. Gallen shows excellent form with WDWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five games

They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws

They recently defeated Basel 3-0

Lugano's form is mixed with DWLWL

They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Their last game was a 1-3 loss against Luzern

统计数据

St. Gallen averages 2.00 goals scored per game and concedes 1.21 goals

In home games, the average is 2.07 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded

Lugano averages 1.59 goals scored and concedes 1.24 goals per match

Away from home, Lugano scores 1.55 goals and concedes an average of 1.64 goals

Kybunpark averages 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games (BTTS rate 60%)

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games (Over 2.5 rate 80%)

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches between St. Gallen and Lugano, St. Gallen secured 3 wins and there were 2 draws

Lugano failed to win any of these matches

St. Gallen scored a total of 8 goals, while Lugano scored 4 goals

The last encounter was won by St. Gallen on November 26, 2025, with a 3-1 scoreline

Recent history shows St. Gallen's dominance

关键球员

For St. Gallen, Carlo Boukhalfa with 11 goals and 3 assists, Lukas Görtler with 5 goals and 8 assists, and Aliou Baldé with 8 goals are key offensive players

For Lugano, Daniel Dos Santos with 3 goals and 10 assists, Anto Grgic with 6 goals and 5 assists, and Uran Bislimi with 5 goals and 3 assists are crucial

门将

Lawrence Ati Zigi of St. Gallen recorded 8 clean sheets this season

David von Ballmoos for Lugano had no clean sheets in 8 appearances this season

Lugano has a total of 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

St. Gallen's home strength is evident with an average of 2.07 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded at Kybunpark

Lugano concedes an average of 1.64 goals away from home

Kybunpark is a stadium with an average of 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80% of games

The match will be played on a grass surface

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