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Super League

Basel - Servette

03/15/2026, 03:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Basel
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Servette
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
BASSER

Basel

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.30
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Andrej Bacanin替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Keigo Tsunemoto 未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

Servette

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.39
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.04
Jérémy Guillemenot替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Bradley Mazikou未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

29%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

71%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Basel's home strength (1.46 home goals, 0.85 goals conceded) meets Servette's vulnerable away defense (1.80 goals conceded)
  • Tactical advantage for Basel with an average of 4.6 shots on target compared to Servette's 2.6
  • Historical home record: Basel won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
风险因素
  • Basel's goal production is currently stagnating (1.2 goals), compared to their season average (1.4 goals)
  • Servette's offensive harmlessness is evident in an average of only 2.6 shots on target
概述

Basel (4th place, 46 points) host Servette (9th place, 33 points) at St. Jakob-Park

Super League match on March 15, 2026, 4:30 PM

Basel are fighting for a European qualification spot, while Servette aim to increase their distance from the relegation zone

The mathematical analysis indicates a home win with 45% probability

近期状态

Basel showed a form of DLWWL across all competitions

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Basel's goal production is currently stagnating with an average of 1.2 goals, compared to their season average of 1.4 goals

Servette has a form of DDDDW

This is 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses in recent matches

Servette consistently scores an average of 1.5 goals per game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Basel scores an average of 1.45 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.31 goals per game

The team kept 8 clean sheets

Servette scores an average of 1.62 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.83 goals per game

Servette kept 4 clean sheets

Basel scores an average of 1.46 goals at home and concedes an average of 0.85 goals at home

Servette scores an average of 1.67 goals away and concedes an average of 1.80 goals away

St. Jakob-Park records an average of 2.0 goals per game

According to mathematical analysis, the probability of over 1.5 goals is 73% and for both teams to score is 52%

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches, there were 3 wins for Basel, 1 win for Servette, and 1 draw

Basel scored 13 goals in these encounters, Servette 5 goals

The last meeting on December 20, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The home team was more dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For Basel, Xherdan Shaqiri (10 goals, 10 assists, avg 7.44), Dominik Schmid (2 goals, 5 assists, avg 7.37), and Bénie Traoré (7 goals) are important players

For Servette, Miroslav Stevanovic (8 goals, 5 assists, avg 7.24), Florian Ayé (9 goals, 2 assists), and Lilian Njoh (9 assists) stand out

Not selected for Basel are Andrej Bacanin (0 goals/2 assists) and Keigo Tsunemoto (1 goal/1 assist)

For Servette, Jérémy Guillemenot (6 goals/3 assists) and Bradley Mazikou (0 goals/2 assists) are missing

门将

Marwin Hitz is the goalkeeper for Basel and played in 27 games

He achieved 8 clean sheets

Joël Mall is the goalkeeper for Servette and played in 25 games

He achieved 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Basel's home record with 1.46 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per home game indicates a home advantage

St. Jakob-Park records an average of 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and 40% of matches having over 2.5 goals

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