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Super League

Luzern - Winterthur

03/15/2026, 03:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Luzern
2.4
Total xG
3.6
Winterthur
1.2
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

6%

2:2

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
LUZWIN

Luzern

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.17
Julian Von Moos未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Adrian Bajrami未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Winterthur

防守不足 (场均失2.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+1.23
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.39
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.09
Randy Schneider未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Alexandre Jankewitz替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.79
+0.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

21%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

79%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis indicates a high probability of a home win for Luzern at 63%
  • Luzern shows a positive form trend and is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.0)
  • Winterthur concedes an alarming average of 3.83 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Luzern concedes an average of 1.94 goals per home game
  • Winterthur's goal production is currently faltering (0.8) compared to their season average (1.1)
概述

Luzern (7th place, 36 points) host Winterthur (12th place, 16 points) at Sportplatz Chrüzmatt

Super League match on March 15, 2026, 4:30 PM

Luzern aims for mid-table improvement, while Winterthur urgently needs points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Luzern's form across all competitions is WWLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games

Winterthur's away form is LLLDD with 3 losses and 2 draws

Luzern recently defeated Lugano away 3:1 and Zürich away 4:1

Luzern's current form trend is positive, and they are scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.0)

Winterthur recently achieved two 1:1 draws against Sion away and Servette at home, but suffered three defeats before that

Winterthur's current form trend is negative, with goal production faltering (0.8) compared to their season average (1.1)

统计数据

Luzern scores an average of 1.97 goals and concedes 1.86 goals per game this season

At home, Luzern scores an average of 1.94 goals and concedes 1.94 goals

Winterthur scores an average of 1.1 goals and concedes 2.72 goals per game this season

Away from home, Winterthur scores an average of 1.08 goals but concedes an alarming 3.83 goals per away game

Luzern had both teams score in 23 games and over 2.5 goals in 23 games

Winterthur had both teams score in 20 games and over 2.5 goals in 23 games

The last 5 games at Sportplatz Chrüzmatt saw an average of 5.4 goals per match

In all 5 of these games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In a total of 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 3 wins for Luzern, 1 win for Winterthur, and 1 draw

Luzern scored 13 goals, while Winterthur scored 10 goals

The last encounter on November 29, 2025, ended in a 1:3 away win for Winterthur

Recent matchups have been dominated by Luzern

关键球员

For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto with 10 goals and 11 assists, and Oscar Kabwit with 7 goals and 4 assists, are crucial

Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira contributed 7 goals and 2 assists, with his form trend declining

For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker is the top scorer with 9 goals and 3 assists

Théo Golliard contributed 3 goals and 4 assists

Pajtim Kasami scored 2 goals, and his form trend is declining

门将

Luzern's goalkeeper Pascal Loretz made 29 season appearances and kept 4 clean sheets

Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino also played in 29 season appearances but could not keep a single clean sheet

影响因素

Luzern's home advantage could play a role due to their average of 1.94 home goals

However, they also concede an average of 1.94 home goals

Winterthur is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.83 goals

The history at Sportplatz Chrüzmatt suggests high-scoring encounters, with an average of 5.4 goals per game

In all 5 of the last games at the stadium, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored

The playing surface is grass

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