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Super League

Zürich - Thun

03/21/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Zürich
1.2
Total xG
3.2
Thun
2.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ZÜRTHU

Zürich

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.19
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.12
Bledian Krasniqi未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)
Lindrit Kamberi未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

Thun

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.39
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.13
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.09
Kastriot Imeri替补席 (6球, 6助攻)
Valmir Matoshi未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Marco Bürki未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.9球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

24%

客胜

56%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

44%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

76%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • League Position and Form: Thun is league leader with positive form (4 wins, 1 draw in 5 games), while Zürich is tenth with negative form (4 losses in 5 games)
  • Offensive and Defensive Strength: Thun displays a strong offense (Avg. 2.37 season goals, currently 2.8 goals per game) and solid defense (Avg. 1.1 goals conceded), while Zürich's goal production is stagnating and their defense is vulnerable (Avg. 1.97 goals conceded)
  • Head-to-Head Record: Thun has won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters, including the last match on December 20, 2025, with a 4-2 victory
风险因素
  • Zürich's Tactical Approach: Zürich is counter-oriented with 44% possession and averages only 3.0 shots on target
概述

Zürich (10th place, 31 points) hosts Thun (1st place, 71 points) at Stadion Letzigrund

Super League match on March 21, 2026, 6:00 PM

League leaders Thun are clear favorites against relegation-threatened Zürich

近期状态

Zürich's current form across all competitions: WLLLL

This translates to 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses from the last 5 matches

Zürich's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals per game, below the season average of 1.4, indicating a negative trend

Thun's current form across all competitions: WWDWW

This translates to 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses from the last 5 matches

Thun is currently scoring more frequently (2.8 goals per game) than their season average (2.4 goals per game), showing a positive trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Zürich averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.97 goals conceded per game this season

Both teams scored in 21 games, and 24 games had over 2.5 goals

At home, Zürich averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.72 goals conceded

Thun displays a strong offense with an average of 2.37 goals scored per game and a solid defense with only 1.1 goals conceded per game

Both teams scored in 22 games, and 24 games had over 2.5 goals

Away from home, Thun averages 2.29 goals scored and concedes just 1.0 goals

The Stadion Letzigrund has seen an average of 3.0 total goals in the last 5 matches

In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored (80% BTTS rate) and there were over 2.5 goals (80% Over 2.5 rate)

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun secured 3 wins, Zürich 1 win, and there was 1 draw

The goal difference in these fixtures is 14:8 in favor of Thun

The last encounter on December 20, 2025, ended in a 4-2 victory for Thun

关键球员

For Zürich, the following starting players are particularly notable:

Philippe Paulin Keny is a key player with 12 goals and 2 assists this season

Damienus Reverson has scored 5 goals and Nelson Palacio has contributed 2 assists

Among Thun's important starting players are:

Elmin Rastoder, who recorded 12 goals and 4 assists this season

Leonardo Bertone with 9 goals and 2 assists, and Franz-Ethan Meichtry with 8 goals and 3 assists

门将

In goal for Zürich is Silas Huber, who achieved an average rating of 6.72 in 9 appearances and recorded 2 clean sheets

Thun's goalkeeper Niklas Steffen played in 30 matches with an average rating of 6.94 and managed to keep 6 clean sheets

影响因素

Stadion Letzigrund shows a high goal average, with 3.0 goals per game on average

Furthermore, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals in 80% of the last 5 matches

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