Super League
Winterthur - Basel
03/22/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.1
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Winterthur
Basel
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
26%
客胜
44%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
56%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Basel's dominance in head-to-head matches with 5 wins in 5 games and 18:2 goals
- Winterthur's defensive vulnerability with an average of 1.94 goals conceded in home games
- Basel's superior form and league position compared to Winterthur
风险因素
- Winterthur's high number of goals conceded per game (2.67 season average)
- Basel's susceptibility with an average of 1.80 goals conceded per away game
- Stadion Schützenwiese's statistics indicate an average of 3.2 goals per game, posing a high risk of a high-scoring outcome
概述
Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) host Basel (4th place, 49 points) at Stadion Schützenwiese. The Super League match takes place on March 22, 2026, 2:00 PM. Winterthur are fighting against relegation, while Basel aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table. The mathematical analysis sees Basel as favorites with a 44% win probability
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Winterthur: Form LLDDW (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Their last result was a 2-1 away win against Luzern
Winterthur's recent form trend is negative
Basel: Form LWWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Their last result was a 3-1 home win against Servette
Basel's recent form trend is stable
统计数据
Winterthur scored an average of 1.13 goals per game this season and conceded 2.67 goals
Winterthur's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0 goals per game), with a season average of 1.13
Basel scored an average of 1.50 goals and conceded 1.30 goals per game
Basel consistently scores an average of 1.50 goals per game
At home, Winterthur scored 1.12 goals and conceded 1.94 goals
Away, Basel scored 1.53 goals and conceded 1.80 goals
Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet this season, while Basel has 8 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 21 of Winterthur's 30 matches and in 19 of Basel's 30 matches
The mathematical analysis predicts a 64% probability for both teams to score (BTTS Yes) and a 61% probability for over 2.5 goals
The Stadion Schützenwiese venue has seen an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 games, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel recorded 5 wins and 0 draws or losses for Winterthur
Basel dominated direct encounters with a goal difference of 18:2
The last meeting saw Basel win 2-1 on December 7, 2025
关键球员
Key players for Winterthur: Andrin Hunziker (9 goals, 4 assists), Théo Golliard (4 goals, 4 assists), Randy Schneider (2 goals, 4 assists)
Key players for Basel: Dominik Schmid (3 goals, 5 assists), Bénie Traoré (7 goals), Metinho (3 goals)
Not nominated for Basel: Xherdan Shaqiri (10G/10A), Léo Leroy (1G/1A), Keigo Tsunemoto (1G/1A)
门将
Stefanos Kapino of Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet in any game this season
Marwin Hitz of Basel has recorded 8 clean sheets in 28 appearances
影响因素
Winterthur scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.94 goals
Basel scores an average of 1.53 goals away and concedes 1.80 goals
The Stadion Schützenwiese venue has seen an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 games