Super League
Young Boys - Lugano
03/22/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
Young Boys
Lugano
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
29%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Young Boys' Favorite Role: Mathematical analysis gives Young Boys a 46% win probability and 1.48 expected home goals
- Young Boys' Home Strength: With an average of 2.00 goals per home game and only 1.06 goals conceded, Young Boys are strong offensively and stable defensively at home
- High-scoring Stadion Wankdorf: Stadion Wankdorf is known for many goals with an average of 3.40 goals per match and 80% Over 2.5
风险因素
- Limited Goal Threat for Lugano: Daniel Dos Santos (3G/10A), Georgios Koutsias (4G/2A), Mattia Zanotti (1G/3A) are missing, only 69% of the usual goal threat is available
- Lugano's Offensive Weakness: Lugano averages only 3.8 shots on target per game
- Yellow Card Suspension for Young Boys: Joël Monteiro (4G/3A) is missing due to a yellow card suspension
概述
Young Boys (6th place, 45 points) host Lugano (3rd place, 50 points) at Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)
Super League match on March 22, 2026, 4:30 PM
A clash between two teams fighting for European spots
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Young Boys' form is LWWLW
They recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games
The last match was a 2-0 away win against Lausanne Sport
Lugano's form is WLWLD
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
The last game ended in a 1-1 away draw against St. Gallen
统计数据
Young Boys scored an average of 2.00 goals per game this season and conceded 1.83 goals
At home, these values improve to 2.00 goals scored and only 1.06 goals conceded per home game
Lugano scored an average of 1.57 goals and conceded 1.23 goals this season
Away, Lugano's average is 1.64 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per game
At Stadion Wankdorf, the last 5 games saw an average of 3.40 goals per match
Both teams scored in 40% of games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of games
历史交锋
There have been a total of 5 head-to-head matches between these teams
Young Boys won 3 games, Lugano won 1 game, and there was 1 draw
Young Boys scored 7 goals in these encounters, Lugano scored 6 goals
The last encounter on December 21, 2025, ended in a 0-3 victory for Lugano
关键球员
For Young Boys, Chris Bedia (15 goals, 4 assists) is the top scorer
Alvyn Sanches (8 goals, 5 assists) and Alan Virginius (4 goals, 6 assists) are other important offensive players
Not nominated: Christian Fassnacht (15G/7A), Joël Monteiro (4G/3A) for Young Boys
Not nominated: Daniel Dos Santos (3G/10A), Georgios Koutsias (4G/2A), Mattia Zanotti (1G/3A) for Lugano
门将
Marvin Keller of Young Boys has achieved 7 clean sheets this season
Lugano achieved 4 clean sheets in away games
David von Ballmoos is expected to be in goal for Lugano and has 0 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Young Boys showed strong home performance with an average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per home game
Stadion Wankdorf is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.40 goals per match
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of games at Wankdorf