Europa League
LOSC Lille - SC Freiburg
01/29/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
3.0
1.7
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
24%
平局
37%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
34%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
76%
非平局
63%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Drastic form contrast: Freiburg comes with 3 wins in 5 games, while Lille has suffered four consecutive losses
- Defensive mismatch: Freiburg's weak away defense (2.62 goals conceded per game) meets Lille's solid, albeit weakened, home attack
- Critical absences on both sides: Both teams have only about 32% of their usual goal-scoring threat available, making the outcome unpredictable
风险因素
- Unpredictability due to personnel issues: With both teams severely weakened (only 32% goal threat active), the expected goals may not materialize
- Limited data: There are no historical head-to-head records, making it difficult to assess the matchup
概述
LOSC Lille (21st place, 9 points) host SC Freiburg (3rd place, 17 points) at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The Europa League match takes place on January 29, 2026, at 9:00 PM. It's a clash between a team in a slump and a side from the top group of the competition.
近期状态
The form curves show a clear contrast
LOSC Lille: WLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Lille has only 1 win and 4 losses from their last five games and is on a four-game losing streak
SC Freiburg: WLDWW
Freiburg is in strong form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss from their last five matches, coming into this game on a two-game winning streak
统计数据
LOSC Lille scores an average of 1.7 goals per game at home while conceding 1.2
SC Freiburg is similarly strong offensively on the road with 1.62 goals per game, but very vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of 2.62 goals
In 13 of SC Freiburg's 19 season games, there were over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored just as often
For Lille, this was the case in 9 and 8 of 19 games, respectively
关键球员
For LOSC Lille, Olivier Giroud is an important factor in attack with 2 season goals
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists this season
For SC Freiburg, Vincenzo Grifo is a central figure with 2 goals and 1 assist
Igor Matanovic is in particularly good form, having scored 4 goals in his last five appearances
门将
LOSC Lille's goalkeeper is Berke Özer, who has kept 5 clean sheets this season
SC Freiburg's goal is defended by Noah Atubolu, who has managed 4 clean sheets so far this season
影响因素
The Stade Pierre-Mauroy sees an average of 3.6 goals per game, suggesting entertaining matches
However, both teams scored in only 40% of recent games
Lille's record on natural grass is balanced with 5 wins and 5 losses
Freiburg, on the other hand, has a strong away record on this surface with 6 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses