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Super League

Servette - Luzern

04/06/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Servette
1.4
Total xG
2.8
Luzern
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
SERLUZ

Servette

状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.18
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.05
Lilian Njoh替补席 (0球, 9助攻)
Jérémy Guillemenot替补席 (6球, 3助攻)

Luzern

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2球)
-0.02
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

28%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Balanced Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a very close match outcome with a 36% home win and a 36% away win probability
  • Offensive Trends: Servette shows a positive form development with a recent average of 2.3 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.6
  • High Goal Potential: Both teams score many goals and concede regularly, leading to a 59% probability for both teams to score and 54% for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Defensive Vulnerability: Both teams concede goals frequently, averaging 1.81 goals per game over the season
  • Missing Key Players in Lineup (Servette): Lilian Njoh (9 assists) and Jérémy Guillemenot (6 goals) are not in the starting XI, potentially weakening the offense
  • Injuries (Luzern): Defender S. Knežević and forward S. Karweina are sidelined due to injury, impacting squad options
概述

Servette (9th place, 36 points) hosts Luzern (7th place, 39 points) at the Stade de Genève

Super League match on April 6, 2026, 4:30 PM

Both teams are in the mid-table, vying for better positions

近期状态

Servette's form (DDWLW) shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 games

Their last win was a 5-0 against Grasshopper

Luzern's form (LLWLW) includes 2 wins and 3 losses

Their most recent victory was a 4-0 against Lausanne Sport

统计数据

Servette scores an average of 1.71 goals per game and concedes 1.81 goals

Luzern shows a stronger offense with an average of 2.0 goals per game, but also concedes 1.81 goals

Servette kept 5 clean sheets, as did Luzern

At Stade de Genève, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored recently

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Servette dominated with 2 wins compared to 0 for Luzern

3 matches ended in a draw

The goal difference in these encounters is 12:10 in favor of Servette

The last meeting on November 22, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

For Servette, Miroslav Stevanovic, with 10 goals and 5 assists, and Florian Ayé, with 10 goals and 2 assists, are key offensive players

Junior Kadile contributed 4 goals and 3 assists in 6 appearances and shows a rising form trend

For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto stands out with 12 goals and 12 assists and a rising form trend

Oscar Kabwit scored 7 goals and 5 assists

Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira contributed 7 goals and 3 assists

门将

Servette goalkeeper Joël Mall made 27 season appearances and showed a rising form trend in the last 5 games

Servette achieved 5 clean sheets this season

Luzern's goalkeeper Pascal Loretz played in all 31 season matches

Luzern also kept 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Servette scores an average of 1.69 goals at home and concedes 1.62 goals

Luzern scores an average of 2.0 goals away and concedes 1.77 goals

The grass pitch at Stade de Genève is the usual surface

In recent matches at Stade de Genève, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored

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