Super League
Lugano - Thun
04/04/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.7
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
5%xG 分解
Lugano
Thun
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
22%
平局
27%
客胜
51%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
49%
客胜或平局
78%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Thun with a probability of 51%
- Thun's current form is more convincing, while Lugano's goal production has recently declined
- Thun demonstrates a strong away offense with an average of 2.36 goals per game
风险因素
- Lugano's recent goal production is negative, with 1.0 goals compared to the season average of 1.6
- The venue historically shows many goals and BTTS results, which favors an open game
概述
Lugano (4th place, 51 points) hosts Thun (1st place, 71 points) at Stadio di Cornaredo
Super League match on April 4, 2026, 4:00 PM
Thun, as league leaders, enter the match as favorites, while Lugano aims to defend its 4th place
近期状态
Lugano's form in the last five matches is LWLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Lugano recently drew twice in a row
Lugano's goal production is currently stagnant at an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.6 goals
Thun's form in its last five matches is WDWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Thun consistently scores an average of 2.4 goals per game
统计数据
Lugano averages 1.55 goals scored per game and concedes 1.23 goals
At home, Lugano scores 1.53 goals and concedes 0.95 goals per home game
Thun is strong offensively with an average of 2.32 goals per game and concedes 1.13 goals
Away, Thun scores 2.36 goals and concedes 1.14 goals per away game
An average of 3.4 goals per game were scored at Stadio di Cornaredo
Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, both teams recorded one win each
A total of 2 goals were scored by Lugano and 2 goals by Thun
Lugano won the last match at home 1:0 on November 22, 2025
The recent head-to-head encounters show an even balance of power
关键球员
For Lugano, Daniel Dos Santos (10 assists), Anto Grgic (7 goals), and Renato Steffen (5 goals) are key players
They are part of the probable starting lineup
Thun relies on the goal threat of Elmin Rastoder (12 goals), Leonardo Bertone (10 goals), and Kastriot Imeri (6 goals, 6 assists)
These players are in the probable starting lineup
门将
Lugano's goalkeeper Amir Saipi has 7 clean sheets this season
Thun's goalkeeper Niklas Steffen has 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Stadio di Cornaredo features a grass surface
Lugano shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.95 goals conceded
Historically, many goals are scored at Stadio di Cornaredo (avg. 3.4 goals per game)
In all 5 last games at the stadium, both teams scored