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Super League

St. Gallen - Zürich

04/06/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
St. Gallen
1.9
Total xG
2.7
Zürich
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
SGZÜR

St. Gallen

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.52
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.08
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.07
Alessandro Vogt替补席 (14球, 3助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Zürich

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.95
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.07
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

62%

平局

24%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

38%

非平局

76%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • St. Gallen is the favorite for a home win with a 62% probability, according to mathematical analysis, with 1.88 expected home goals
  • St. Gallen's home offense (avg 1.88 goals) meets Zürich's weak away defense (avg 2.33 goals conceded)
  • St. Gallen is unbeaten in 5 games, while Zürich recorded 4 losses in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Zürich's Away Defense: Zürich concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
  • Zürich's Offensive Efficiency: Zürich averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Last Head-to-Head: St. Gallen lost their last home game against Zürich with a score of 1-2
概述

St. Gallen (2nd place, 56 points) host Zürich (10th place, 34 points) at Kybunpark. Super League match on April 6, 2026, 4:30 PM. The mathematical analysis sees St. Gallen as clear favorites with a 62% home win probability

近期状态

St. Gallen's form is WDWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team achieved 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games, with the last match being a 1-1 draw against Sion. Zürich's form is LLLLW with 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses from their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 win against Thun in their last game. St. Gallen's goal production is currently stagnant (1.8 goals), with a season average of 2.1 goals. Zürich's goal production is also stagnant (1.0 goals), with a season average of 1.4 goals

统计数据

St. Gallen averages 1.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.19 goals per game over the season. Zürich averages 1.42 goals scored and concedes 1.94 goals per match. At home, St. Gallen averages 1.88 goals scored and concedes 1.12 goals. Zürich concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game. Kybunpark records an average of 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and 60% seeing over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 3 times and Zürich won 2 times. St. Gallen scored a total of 9 goals, Zürich 8 goals. The last encounter on December 6, 2025, ended with a 1-2 victory for Zürich. St. Gallen has been dominant at home in overall direct duels

关键球员

For St. Gallen, Lukas Görtler (6 goals, 8 assists, avg 7.33 rating) with stable form, Carlo Boukhalfa (11 goals, 3 assists, avg 6.95 rating) with stable form, and Aliou Baldé (8 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.83 rating) with declining form are notable. Not nominated for St. Gallen: Alessandro Vogt (14G/3A). For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny (12 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.08 rating) with declining form, Ivan Cavaleiro (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.94 rating) with stable form, and Damienus Reverson (6 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.71 rating) with stable form stand out

门将

St. Gallen's goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 8 clean sheets this season. Zürich's goalkeeper Silas Huber kept a clean sheet 2 times

影响因素

St. Gallen enjoys a home advantage with an average of 1.88 goals scored at home and 1.12 goals conceded at home. Kybunpark is a stadium with an average of 2.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and 60% seeing over 2.5 goals. The playing surface is natural grass

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