Serie A
Cremonese - Hellas Verona
01/19/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
0.5
1.0
0.5
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
35%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
25%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
35%
否
65%
关键因素
- Cremonese with significantly better form: WWDDD vs DLDDL
- Verona goalkeeper Perilli without Serie A experience - weak point
- Both teams with severe offensive problems under 1 goal/game
风险因素
- Relegation battle with high pressure - unpredictable game dynamics
- Both teams historically weak on grass pitch (2-2-6 each)
概述
Cremonese (15th place, 22 points) host Hellas Verona (20th place, 13 points) at Stadio Giovanni Zini on January 19, 2026, 6:30 PM
Crucial relegation battle - 9-point gap could prove decisive
Cremonese slightly favored due to home advantage and better league position
近期状态
Cremonese: DLLDL - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses in last 5 games
Hellas Verona: LLDLL - 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses
Form trend clearly favors Cremonese with significant improvement
Verona still in crisis without victory in last 5 matches
统计数据
Cremonese: Avg. 1.0 goals scored, Avg. 1.4 conceded - weak offense
Hellas Verona: Avg. 0.85 goals, Avg. 1.7 conceded - even bigger offensive problems
Both teams below league average in chance conversion
Stadio Giovanni Zini: Avg. 3.0 goals/game historically, but current teams defensively minded
历史交锋
5 direct encounters: balanced record with 1 win each and 3 draws
Goal statistics 4:5 minimally favor Verona
Last meeting in September 2025 ended goalless 0:0
Historical tendency for tight, low-scoring affairs between both teams
关键球员
Gift Orban (Verona): 6 season goals, 2 goals in last 5 games - in form
Jamie Vardy (Cremonese): 5 season goals, 1 goal and 1 assist recently
Antoine Bernede (Verona): Midfield engine with 1 assist in last 5 matches
Federico Bonazzoli (Cremonese): 5 season goals, 1 assist in last game
门将
Emil Audero (Cremonese): Avg. 7.24 rating, 5 clean sheets - strong form
Simone Perilli (Verona): Reserve goalkeeper without Serie A experience
Decisive advantage for Cremonese between the posts
Audero could be match-deciding factor
影响因素
Stadio Giovanni Zini: 60% Over 2.5 rate, but both teams weak offensively
Cremonese at home: only 2 wins in 11 home games
Verona away catastrophic: only 7 goals in 8 away games
Grass pitch record negative for both teams (2-2-6 each)