Serie A
Lecce - Lazio
01/24/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
0.8
1.9
1.2
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
20%
平局
41%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
12%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
80%
非平局
59%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Drastic form discrepancy: Lecce's disastrous form (DLLLL) contrasts with Lazio's inconsistent but point-scoring performance
- Offensive toothlessness vs. solid defense: Lecce's weak attack (0.62 goals/game) meets Lazio's stable defense (0.9 goals conceded/game)
- Weakened by absences: Both teams are weakened by injuries, especially in midfield, suggesting a hard-fought and low-scoring game
风险因素
- Lazio's inconsistent away form: Although Lazio are favorites, their away record is not outstanding, which could make it difficult for them to break down a defensive Lecce side
- Head-to-head record: Despite the current league standings, the H2H record is relatively balanced (2 wins for Lecce, 3 for Lazio), suggesting Lecce can be a tricky opponent
- Lazio's negative trend: Advanced stats also show a negative form trend for Lazio, which could level the playing field
概述
Lecce, in 17th place with 17 points, hosts Lazio, 9th with 28 points, at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare. The Serie A match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 8:45 PM. For Lecce, it's about crucial points in the relegation battle, while Lazio aims to keep pace with the European spots.
近期状态
Lecce form: DLLLL (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)
From the last five games, Lecce has 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
The team is on a negative streak with four consecutive defeats
Lazio form: DLDWL
Lazio recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches
The visitors' form is inconsistent and marked by volatility
统计数据
Lecce scores an average of 0.62 goals per game and concedes 1.38
Lazio averages 1.0 goals scored and concedes only 0.9
Defensively, Lazio is significantly more stable with 10 clean sheets compared to Lecce's 6
Lecce failed to score in 11 of 21 league games, Lazio in 10
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins for Lecce and 3 for Lazio
The goal difference is 4:6 from Lecce's perspective
The last encounter was won by Lazio with a score of 2:0
Lazio is considered the more dominant team in recent history
关键球员
For Lecce, Nikola Stulic is an important attacker with 2 season goals, having scored recently
Lameck Banda also contributed with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
For Lazio, Matteo Cancellieri is a constant threat with 3 season goals
Mattia Zaccagni is also a key figure in the attack with 3 season goals
门将
Lecce's goalkeeper Wladimiro Falcone has kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches
Lazio's Ivan Provedel has 10 clean sheets in 21 games, making him statistically stronger
影响因素
At Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, an average of 2.4 goals are scored per game
The rate for 'Both teams to score' is 40%, and for 'Over 2.5 goals' it's 60%
Lecce's home record on natural grass is weak with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses
Lazio has a balanced away record on natural grass with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses