Serie A
Genoa - Bologna
01/25/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.6
1.5
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
26%
平局
32%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
33%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
74%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Bologna's superior attack (1.43 goals/game) meets Genoa's more vulnerable defense (1.38 goals conceded/game), giving the visitors an edge.
- Both teams are weakened by key defensive absences (Østigård for Genoa; Miranda and Lucumí for Bologna), which could lead to an open game with goals on both sides.
- Advanced stats show Genoa has a positive recent goal-scoring trend while Bologna's is declining, which could narrow the gap between the teams.
风险因素
- Significant defensive absences on both sides make defensive stability unpredictable.
- Genoa's starting goalkeeper Justin Bijlow has no appearances for the club this season according to the stats, which is a major element of uncertainty.
- Bologna's recent form is negative despite their better league position, which could see them underperform against a Genoa side with a positive trend.
概述
Genoa (16th place, 20 points) hosts Bologna (8th place, 30 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The Serie A match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM. Bologna is fighting to secure a top-half finish, while Genoa needs crucial points in the relegation battle.
近期状态
Genoa: LDDWD - In the last five matches, there was 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. The form is inconsistent, but with a slight tendency towards draws.
Bologna: LDWLD - With 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, Bologna also shows mixed form. Neither team enters the match with great confidence.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, Bologna has the upper hand with an average of 1.43 goals per game, compared to Genoa's 1.05. Defensively, Bologna is also more stable, conceding an average of 1.14 goals, while Genoa concedes 1.38. For Genoa, 13 of 21 games saw both teams score, while for Bologna, it was 11 out of 21.
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Genoa has the edge with 2 wins, while Bologna has recorded 1 victory, and 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference is 9-6 in favor of Genoa. The last meeting in September 2025 was won by Bologna 2-1.
关键球员
Genoa's Lorenzo Colombo is in rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances and 5 for the season. Aarón Martín is a key creator with 4 assists. For Bologna, Riccardo Orsolini with 7 seasonal goals and Santiago Castro with 6 are the most dangerous attackers. Jens Odgaard also has a positive form trend.
门将
In goal for Genoa is Justin Bijlow, who, according to available data, has not made an appearance this season. The team has kept a total of 4 clean sheets. For Bologna, Lukasz Skorupski starts, having made 10 appearances this season. The team has kept 6 clean sheets in total.
影响因素
The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris is known for an average of 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches. Genoa has a negative goal difference at home (9:13 in 9 games). Bologna presents itself stronger away with a positive record (18:14 in 13 games).