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Serie A

Atalanta - Parma

01/25/2026, 02:00 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Atalanta
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Parma
0.9
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

24%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Over 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

28%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

76%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Atalanta's Attacking Edge: Atalanta's solid home offense (1.27 goals per game) faces one of the league's weakest away offenses (Parma with 0.64 goals per game)
  • Clear Form Disparity: Atalanta comes into the game with 3 wins from their last 5 matches, while Parma has only managed one victory in the same period
  • Key Absence for Parma: The absence of starting goalkeeper Zion Suzuki is a significant blow to Parma's defense and a major advantage for Atalanta's attack
风险因素
  • Injury concerns for Atalanta too: The absence of players like K. Sulemana could impact the home team's attacking power
  • Unpredictable H2H: Although the overall record favors Atalanta, the last head-to-head match ended in a draw, showing that Parma can be competitive
  • Limited data context: The league table data shows 0 games played, meaning the standings should only be used as a rough indicator of team strength
概述

Atalanta, in 7th place with 32 points, hosts Parma, in 13th place with 23 points, at the Gewiss Stadium

The Serie A match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM

Atalanta enters the match as clear favorites, aiming to stay in touch with the European spots

近期状态

Atalanta: WWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

In the last five matches, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Parma: DLWDD

The team has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games

Atalanta is in significantly better form than the visitors

统计数据

Atalanta scores an average of 1.24 goals per game this season and concedes 0.95

Parma has an average of 0.67 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded

Atalanta is particularly strong at home, having scored 14 goals and conceded only 9 in 11 matches

Parma shows offensive weaknesses away from home, with only 7 goals in 11 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Atalanta won 3 times, Parma won once, and 1 match ended in a draw

The goal difference is 14:7 in favor of Atalanta

The last meeting on August 30, 2025, ended 1-1

关键球员

Nikola Krstović has scored 5 goals for Atalanta this season and is showing rising form

Gianluca Scamacca is another important attacker with 5 seasonal goals

Charles De Ketelaere has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, and his form is on the rise

Mateo Pellegrino is Parma's top scorer with 6 goals this season

Adrián Bernabé is a key figure in Parma's midfield, also showing rising form

门将

Marco Carnesecchi is in goal for Atalanta and has kept 7 clean sheets this season

For Parma, Edoardo Corvi replaces the injured starting goalkeeper Zion Suzuki

影响因素

At Gewiss Stadium, an average of 2.4 goals are scored per game

The rate for both teams to score is 40%

Atalanta has a strong home record on natural grass with 6 wins in 10 games

Parma has only won 3 of their 10 away games on natural grass

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