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Serie A
Bologna - AC Milan
02/03/2026, 07:45 PM
0 : 3
预期进球
Bologna
1.6
Total xG
3.3
AC Milan
1.7
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
28%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
42%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- AC Milan's defense (0.77 goals conceded/game) is significantly stronger than Bologna's (1.23)
- Bologna's attack shows a positive trend, currently scoring 2.2 goals, which is higher than their season average of 1.7
- AC Milan is unbeaten in their last 5 games (DDWWD), while Bologna has inconsistent form (WLDLW)
风险因素
- AC Milan's goal production has recently decreased (1.4 goals average in recent games vs. 1.7 season average)
- Bologna has to play without their starting goalkeeper Łukasz Skorupski, which represents a defensive weakening
- The head-to-head record is completely balanced with 2 wins each and one draw, suggesting an unpredictable match
概述
Bologna (10th place, 30 points) hosts AC Milan (2nd place, 47 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
近期状态
Bologna form: WLDLW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
统计数据
AC Milan has a slightly stronger attack with an average of 1.59 goals per game compared to Bologna's 1.45
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Bologna, 2 wins for AC Milan, and 1 draw
关键球员
Riccardo Orsolini is a key player for Bologna with 7 goals this season
门将
Bologna's starting goalkeeper, Łukasz Skorupski, is suspended
影响因素
The last 5 matches at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara averaged 2.4 total goals