Serie A
Bologna - Parma
02/08/2026, 11:30 AM
预期进球
1.9
2.9
0.9
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
25%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
38%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Offensive Superiority: Bologna's attack (1.39 goals/game) is significantly stronger than Parma's (0.65 goals/game), who have failed to score in over half their matches
- Decimated Visitors: Parma is suffering from numerous injuries, including key players in defense (L. Valenti) and goal (Z. Suzuki)
- Home Advantage and H2H Dominance: Bologna is favored at home and has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters
风险因素
- Bologna's defensive vulnerability: Conceding an average of 1.44 goals in home games could offer chances even to Parma's weak attack
- Inconsistent home form: Bologna's own form is not convincing, with only one win in their last five league matches, which qualifies their status as favorites
概述
Bologna, in 10th place in the table with 30 points, hosts Parma, who are in 15th place with 23 points, at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
The Serie A match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 12:30 PM
Bologna enters the match as the favorite and aims to further distance themselves from the bottom third of the table
近期状态
Bologna (Form: LDLWL) has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches
Parma (Form: WDDLL) has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last five games, having lost the last two consecutively
Both teams show mixed form, with Parma showing a slight downward trend recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Bologna's attack, averaging 1.39 goals per game, is significantly more effective than Parma's (0.65 goals per game)
Parma has failed to score in 12 of their 23 league games, highlighting their offensive weakness
Defensively, both teams are on a similar level, conceding 1.3 goals per game each
At the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, an average of 2.8 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 60% of the matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Bologna has the upper hand
Bologna won 3 of these matches, while Parma was victorious only once, with one draw
The goal difference is clearly in Bologna's favor at 8:4
The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Bologna
关键球员
For Bologna, the most dangerous players are Riccardo Orsolini with 7 season goals and Santiago Castro with 6 goals
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is the top scorer with 6 goals this season
Adrián Bernabé has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season
门将
For Bologna, Lukasz Skorupski (11 appearances) and Federico Ravaglia (13 appearances) have shared playing time; the team has a total of 6 clean sheets
For Parma, the now-injured Zion Suzuki was the main goalkeeper; Edoardo Corvi has 11 appearances
Parma has kept 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Bologna's home record is mixed with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses
Parma's away record on natural grass is similar with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses
The stadium's statistics suggest an entertaining match, with an average of 2.8 goals per game and a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score'