Serie A
AC Milan - Como
02/18/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
27%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Crucial Absences for AC Milan: The home side is significantly weakened by the suspension of key midfielder Adrien Rabiot (4 goals, 4 assists) and the injury to attacker C. Pulisic (8 goals, 2 assists).
- Como's Tactical Superiority: Como demonstrates a more dominant tactical approach with 63% average possession and significantly more shots on target per game (6.4 vs. Milan's 4.2), indicating stronger offensive pressure.
- Strong Model Prediction for Away Win: Despite being the visiting team and lower in the table, the mathematical model gives Como a significant 43% chance of winning, compared to just 30% for AC Milan.
风险因素
- AC Milan's unbeaten form: AC Milan is undefeated in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw) and will be confident playing at home.
- Head-to-head dominance: AC Milan has won all of the last three direct encounters against Como, scoring 7 goals to 3.
- Potential fatigue for Como: Como has had only four days of recovery since their last match, which could affect their performance level.
概述
Top match in Serie A: AC Milan (2nd place, 53 points) hosts Como (7th place, 41 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. The match takes place on February 18, 2026, at 8:45 PM. Milan is fighting for the top of the table, while Como is aiming for a spot in European competition.
近期状态
AC Milan is in excellent form and unbeaten in their last five matches (Form: WWDWW), with 4 wins and 1 draw. They have won their last two games. Como's form is also good but took a hit in their last match (Form: WWDDL). They have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games.
统计数据
Both teams are extremely strong defensively, having conceded an average of just 0.75 goals per game this season. Offensively, Milan is slightly more dangerous with 1.67 goals per game compared to Como's 1.58. At home, Milan scores an average of 1.7 goals, while Como averages 1.55 goals away. Como's defense is particularly stable on the road, conceding only 0.82 goals per away game.
历史交锋
In the head-to-head record, AC Milan has the clear upper hand. Milan won each of the last 3 encounters. The overall goal difference is 7:3 in favor of AC Milan. The last meeting on January 15, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Milan.
关键球员
For AC Milan, Adrien Rabiot is a key player with 4 goals and 4 assists and is in rising form. Rafael Leão is the top scorer with 7 seasonal goals. For Como, Nico Paz is the pivotal player with 8 goals and 6 assists, although his form has slightly declined recently. Martin Baturina is showing strong rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in recent matches.
门将
The duel between the goalkeepers is on an equal footing. AC Milan's Mike Maignan has kept 11 clean sheets in 23 appearances. His counterpart, Como's Jean Butez, has managed 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
影响因素
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza has recently been the scene of high-scoring games, with an average of 4.2 goals in the last five matches. AC Milan has a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per home game. However, Como is very strong defensively away from home, conceding only 0.82 goals per game on their travels.