Serie A
Cremonese - Genoa
02/15/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.9
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
25%
平局
27%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
75%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Clear form advantage for Genoa, who have won two of their last five games, while Cremonese is winless
- Offensive discrepancy: According to data analysis, Genoa's attack currently scores significantly more often (2.3 goals on average) than Cremonese's (0.3)
- Mathematical prediction: The prediction model clearly favors Genoa with a 48% win probability and 1.70 expected goals
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability of both teams: Genoa concedes an average of 1.54 goals per game, Cremonese 1.38
- Pressure of the relegation battle: Both teams are level on points at the bottom of the table, which could lead to an unpredictable match
- Negative trend for Genoa: Despite better overall form, Genoa has lost its last two games, which could indicate a dip in form
概述
Cremonese (15th place, 23 points) host Genoa (16th place, 23 points) at the Stadio Giovanni Zini
A crucial duel in the Serie A relegation battle, as both teams are level on points
The match takes place on February 15, 2026, at 3:00 PM
The mathematical analysis favors the visitors with a 48% win probability
近期状态
Cremonese is in a form crisis and has been winless for five games
Cremonese form: L-D-L-L-L (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Genoa shows better form but has lost its last two matches
Genoa form: W-D-W-L-L (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Genoa has the more dangerous attack, averaging 1.21 goals per game compared to Cremonese's 0.88
Genoa is also more prolific away from home (1.25 goals per game) than Cremonese is at home (0.85)
Both defensive lines are vulnerable, with Genoa conceding an average of 1.54 goals and Cremonese 1.38
Matches involving Genoa have seen over 2.5 goals more frequently (15 out of 24 games) than those with Cremonese (9 out of 24)
历史交锋
There has been only one encounter between the two teams in recent history
Cremonese won this match 2-0 on October 29, 2025
The goal difference from this game is 2-0 in favor of Cremonese
关键球员
For Cremonese, strikers Federico Bonazzoli (5 season goals, 2 assists) and Jamie Vardy (5 goals, 1 assist) are the key figures in attack
For Genoa, Ruslan Malinovskyi is the decisive man in midfield with 5 goals and 3 assists, supported by striker Lorenzo Colombo (6 season goals)
门将
Cremonese's goalkeeper is Emil Audero, who has kept 6 clean sheets this season
For Genoa, Justin Bijlow is in goal; the team has a total of 4 clean sheets
影响因素
The Stadio Giovanni Zini is a venue for low-scoring games, with an average of just 2.0 goals in the last five matches
The probability of both teams scoring was only 20% in the last games at this stadium
Cremonese has a weak home record, scoring an average of only 0.85 goals per home game