Serie A
Parma - Hellas Verona
02/15/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
10%2:1
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
32%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Relegation battle dynamics: Everything is on the line for both teams, promising a hard-fought but potentially error-prone match
- Defensive vulnerability vs. weak attack: Hellas Verona's catastrophic away defense (2.44 goals conceded/game) meets Parma's toothless attack (0.67 goals/game)
- Extremely balanced prediction: Mathematical models see the chances as almost identically distributed (34% home win, 32% draw, 34% away win), suggesting an open game
风险因素
- Offensive impotence: Both teams have failed to score in half of their league matches this season (12 out of 24), making a low-scoring game likely
- Parma's weak home record: Parma is not strong at home, scoring only 0.67 goals and conceding 1.42 goals per home game
概述
A crucial Serie A relegation battle is on the cards as Parma (14th place, 26 points) host bottom-of-the-table Hellas Verona (20th place, 15 points)
The match will take place on February 15, 2026, at 3:00 PM at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
Vital points are at stake for both teams in their fight for survival
近期状态
Parma managed to end a negative run with a win in their last game
Form: DDLLW (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Hellas Verona are winless in their last five matches and are in a deep form crisis
Form: LDLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
The form guide slightly favours the home team, although both sides are struggling
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
This match features two of the league's weakest attacks
Parma averages just 0.67 goals per game this season, while Hellas Verona averages 0.75
Both teams have failed to score in 12 of their 24 league matches
The key difference lies in defense: Verona concedes a catastrophic average of 2.44 goals per away game
Parma are also vulnerable at home, conceding 1.42 goals per game on average
历史交锋
The historical record between the two teams is perfectly balanced
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there have been 2 wins for Parma, 2 wins for Hellas Verona, and 1 draw
The goal difference is also identical at 6-6
Neither team has been able to establish dominance in recent history
关键球员
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is the top scorer with 6 goals this season
Adrián Bernabé provides important impetus from midfield with 2 goals and 1 assist
Mandela Keita is a stable factor in midfield with consistently good performances
For Hellas Verona, Gift Orban is the most dangerous attacker with 7 goals this season
Rafik Belghali has already scored 2 goals as a defender
Victor Nelsson organizes the defense and is a key part of the team
门将
Parma's goal is defended by Edoardo Corvi, whose team has kept 8 clean sheets this season
For Hellas Verona, Lorenzo Montipò is in goal; his team has achieved 5 clean sheets so far
Both goalkeepers are likely to be tested given their teams' defensive vulnerabilities
影响因素
The Stadio Ennio Tardini has not been a venue for high-scoring games recently
In the last five home matches, the average was just 1.8 goals
Both teams scored in only 20% of these games
Parma's home record is very weak with only 0.67 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.42