Serie A
Cagliari - Lecce
02/16/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.0
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
14%0:1
10%2:0
9%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
33%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Lecce's offensive struggles: With only 0.6 goals per away game, Lecce faces Cagliari's solid home defense (1.0 goals conceded per game)
- Strong home advantage for Cagliari: The team is significantly more stable defensively at home and earns most of its points there
- Better current form: Cagliari won 3 of the last 5 games, while Lecce only managed one victory in the same period
风险因素
- Weakened attack for Cagliari: Due to absences, only 64% of the team's total season goal threat is available
- Lecce also weakened: With Lameck Banda and Medon Berisha missing, key offensive players are out, leaving only 60% of their attacking power available
- Low goal expectation: The mathematical model predicts a low-scoring game (1.18 to 0.86 expected goals), which increases the likelihood of a draw or a narrow victory
概述
Cagliari (13th place, 28 points) host Lecce (17th place, 21 points) at the Sardegna Arena
Serie A match on February 16, 2026, 8:45 PM
An important duel in the bottom third of the table, with both teams fighting for crucial points against relegation
近期状态
Cagliari form: LWWWL (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)
The team has won 3 of its last 5 matches
The last game was a 0-2 loss against Roma
Lecce form: LLDLW
Lecce has managed to win only 1 of its last 5 matches
The recent 2-1 victory over Udinese ended a long winless streak
统计数据
Cagliari scores an average of 1.17 goals per game, while Lecce only manages 0.63
At home, Cagliari is defensively stable, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal per game
Lecce has failed to score in 13 of 24 season matches
The visitors are more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Cagliari, 1 win for Lecce, and 2 draws
The goal difference favors Cagliari at 8:5
The last encounter was won by Cagliari 2-1
关键球员
Sebastiano Esposito (3 season goals, 4 assists)
Marco Palestra (1 season goal, 4 assists)
Adam Obert (2 season assists, solid defender)
Lassana Coulibaly (2 season goals)
Tiago Gabriel (1 season goal, a key pillar in defense)
Wladimiro Falcone (7 clean sheets this season)
门将
Cagliari's Elia Caprile has kept 5 clean sheets this season, 4 of which were at home
Lecce's Wladimiro Falcone has 7 clean sheets this season, 3 of them away
影响因素
Cagliari shows clear home strength, conceding only 1.0 goal per game at the Sardegna Arena
Recent matches at this stadium have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in only one of Cagliari's last five home games