Serie A
AC Milan - Parma
02/22/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
2.9
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
7%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
65%
平局
22%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
35%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- League table gap: Second-placed AC Milan has a significant advantage in quality and points (54 to 29) over 13th-placed Parma
- Strong attack vs. weak offense: Milan scores consistently (1.64 per game), while Parma failed to score in almost half of their matches (12 out of 25)
- Solid form and home advantage: Milan is unbeaten in 5 games and particularly strong at home, supported by a 65% mathematical win probability
风险因素
- Historical encounters: Parma has scored in each of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Milan, suggesting a potential threat to the Milan defense
- Potential fatigue: AC Milan has had only 4 days to recover since their last match, which could lead to exhaustion
概述
AC Milan (2nd place, 54 points) hosts Parma (13th place, 29 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A match on February 22, 2026, 6:00 PM
The home team enters the match as clear favorites, looking to solidify their position at the top of the table
近期状态
AC Milan is unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Form: W-D-W-W-D (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
Parma has won their last two matches but showed mixed form before that
Form: D-L-L-W-W (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
AC Milan has a strong offense, averaging 1.64 goals scored per game
Defensively, Milan is also solid, conceding only 0.76 goals per game
Parma struggles in attack, scoring an average of just 0.72 goals and failing to score in 12 of their 25 matches
Parma's defense is more vulnerable than Milan's, with 1.24 goals conceded per game
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, AC Milan has a slightly positive record
AC Milan won 2 matches, Parma won 1, and 2 games ended in a draw
The goal difference is 11:9 in favor of AC Milan
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
For AC Milan, Christian Pulisic (8 goals, 2 assists) and Rafael Leão (8 goals, 2 assists) are the top scorers, supported by Adrien Rabiot (4 goals, 4 assists) in midfield
For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino is the most dangerous attacker with 7 goals and 1 assist
Adrián Bernabé has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist
门将
Mike Maignan in goal for AC Milan has been involved in 11 clean sheets this season
Edoardo Corvi, Parma's goalkeeper, has been part of a team that kept a total of 8 clean sheets
影响因素
AC Milan is very strong at home, scoring an average of 1.64 goals while conceding only 0.91 per home game
Parma is weaker away, scoring an average of 0.73 goals and conceding 1.18
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza has seen a lot of goals recently, with an average of 4.4 goals in the last 5 matches