Serie A
Cagliari - Lazio
02/21/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.1
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
13%1:0
9%0:2
9%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
33%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Lazio's offense is significantly weakened by absences, with only 46% of their seasonal goal threat available, as Taty Castellanos is missing
- The historical comparison clearly favors Lazio, who have won all of the last five head-to-head matches against Cagliari
- Lazio's defense is one of their greatest strengths this season, supported by goalkeeper Ivan Provedel, who has already kept 11 clean sheets
风险因素
- Cagliari's offense is also weakened: due to the absence of Gianluca Gaetano, only 57% of their goal threat is available
- Cagliari's form is on a downward trend; after three wins, they have suffered two consecutive losses without scoring a single goal
概述
Cagliari (13th place, 28 points) hosts Lazio (10th place, 33 points) at the Sardegna Arena
The Serie A match takes place on February 21, 2026, 8:45 PM
It's a mid-table clash where the visitors are slight favorites according to the mathematical analysis, with a 40% win probability
近期状态
Cagliari's form (all competitions): WWWLL
The team celebrated 3 wins and suffered 2 losses in their last five matches, with the last two games ending in defeat
Lazio's form (all competitions): DWDDL
The last five matches resulted in 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, indicating an inconsistent phase
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, both teams are similarly positioned this season, with Cagliari scoring an average of 1.12 goals per game, and Lazio 1.04
Defensively, Lazio is significantly more stable with only 1.0 goal conceded per game, compared to Cagliari's 1.4
Lazio has kept 11 clean sheets this season, while Cagliari has only managed 5
历史交锋
Lazio has clearly dominated the head-to-head record in recent history
In the last 5 encounters, all 5 victories went to Lazio
The goal difference also speaks clearly for the visitors at 10:3
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Lazio
关键球员
For Cagliari, Sebastiano Esposito (3 season goals, 4 assists) and striker Semih Kılıçsoy (4 season goals) could be dangerous
For Lazio, midfielder Danilo Cataldi (3 goals, 3 assists) and attacker Gustav Isaksen (3 goals, 1 assist) are important players
门将
In goal, Cagliari's Elia Caprile faces Lazio's Ivan Provedel
Provedel has a strong record this season with 11 clean sheets
In comparison, Caprile has kept 5 clean sheets
影响因素
Cagliari has a balanced home record at the Sardegna Arena, averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per home game
The last five home matches have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.4 goals
Both teams scored in only one of these five matches