Serie A
Parma - Cagliari
02/27/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.5
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
10%0:1
9%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Parma
Cagliari
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
31%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Cagliari is severely weakened: Due to absences, only 50% of the seasonal goal threat is available, with key player Gianluca Gaetano (2 goals/3 assists) missing
- Form versus history: Parma is on the rise with three consecutive wins, while the historical record clearly favors Cagliari
- Low-scoring match expected: Both teams have offensive problems, supported by low expected goals (1.23 vs 1.25) and a low probability for over 2.5 goals (45%)
风险因素
- Parma's home weakness: With only 0.71 goals per home game, Parma struggles to create danger in their own stadium
- Cagliari's away defense: The visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals on the road
- Extremely open game: The mathematical prediction shows an almost identical win probability for both teams (34% vs 35%)
概述
Parma (12th place, 32 points) host Cagliari (13th place, 29 points) at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A match on February 27, 2026, 8:45 PM
A direct duel between two mid-table neighbors
近期状态
Parma: Form LLWWW (3 wins, 2 losses in the last 5 matches)
The team is on a 3-game winning streak, including a 1-0 away win against AC Milan
Cagliari: Form WWLLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in the last 5 matches)
Cagliari is winless in 3 games and has failed to score a single goal in those matches
统计数据
With only 19 goals in 26 games, Parma has one of the weakest attacks in the league (avg 0.73 goals per game)
Cagliari is slightly stronger offensively (avg 1.08 goals) but more vulnerable defensively (avg 1.35 goals conceded)
Cagliari's defense is particularly weak away, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game
Parma has failed to score in 12 of 26 season matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma has not won a single game
Cagliari won 4 times, with one draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Cagliari with 10:5 goals
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Cagliari
关键球员
Mateo Pellegrino is Parma's top scorer with 7 season goals
Adrián Bernabé is an important midfielder for Parma with 3 goals and one assist
For Cagliari, Semih Kılıçsoy is a source of hope in attack with 4 goals
Sebastiano Esposito has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists and is a key player in the offense
门将
Parma goalkeeper Edoardo Corvi is in goal
Cagliari relies on Elia Caprile
Parma has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Cagliari has managed this 6 times
影响因素
Parma has a weak goal record at home with only 10 goals in 14 home games
Recent matches at the Stadio Ennio Tardini have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 fixtures
Both teams scored in only 2 of Parma's last 5 home matches