Serie A
Como - Lecce
02/28/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.5
0.8
1:0
13%2:0
12%1:1
12%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Como
Lecce
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
26%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- League table disparity: Como is fighting for European spots (6th place), while Lecce is deep in a relegation battle (18th place)
- Massive home strength vs. away weakness: Como is dominant at home with 1.62 goals per game, whereas Lecce scores only 0.67 goals away
- Defensive stability vs. weak attack: Como's defense concedes just 0.73 goals per game, while Lecce has one of the league's weakest offenses with only 0.68 goals per game
风险因素
- Como's declining goal threat: Their recent goal production (1.3 goals per game) is below their season average (2.0)
- Lecce showing fighting spirit: Despite their league position, Lecce has won two of their last four matches
概述
Como (6th place, 45 points) hosts Lecce (18th place, 24 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Serie A match on February 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
The home team is aiming to secure a European spot, while the visitors urgently need points in their relegation battle
近期状态
Como Form (all competitions): DDLDW
In the last five matches, there has been one win, three draws, and one loss
They recently achieved a 2-0 victory away at Juventus
Lecce Form (all competitions): DLWWL
Lecce recorded two wins and two losses with one draw in their last five games
Their last match was a 0-2 defeat against Inter
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Como is very strong at home, averaging 1.62 goals scored and conceding only 0.69 goals per home game
Lecce struggles away, scoring an average of just 0.67 goals while conceding 1.25
Como has kept 13 clean sheets this season, while Lecce has managed 8
Both teams scored in 10 of Como's 26 matches, and in 8 of Lecce's 25 matches
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Como dominated with three wins, while Lecce won only once, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is clearly in favor of Como at 9:2
Como won the last meeting 3:0
关键球员
Anastasios Douvikas is Como's top scorer with eight goals this season
Jesús Rodríguez has already provided six assists
Máximo Perrone is a key player in midfield with two goals and three assists
For Lecce, Lameck Banda is the most dangerous attacker with three goals and two assists
Lassana Coulibaly is showing rising form in midfield
Ylber Ramadani is also an important midfielder with a rising trend
门将
Como's goalkeeper Jean Butez has kept 13 clean sheets in 26 games this season
His counterpart, Wladimiro Falcone of Lecce, has 8 clean sheets in 25 appearances
影响因素
Como has a clear home advantage and is particularly strong at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, with a positive goal difference of 21:9
The last five matches at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.0 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in three of Como's last five home games