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Serie A

Sassuolo - Atalanta

03/01/2026, 02:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sassuolo
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Atalanta
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SASATA

Sassuolo

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.17
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
Cristian Volpato未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)

Atalanta

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.54倍)
+0.36
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
Gianluca Scamacca未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Charles De Ketelaere未进首发 (3球, 3助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

29%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

71%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Depleted Atalanta attack: Due to the absence of key players like Gianluca Scamacca and Charles De Ketelaere, only 53% of the team's usual goal threat is available
  • Atalanta's defensive superiority: The visitors concede only 0.85 goals per game on average, while Sassuolo is much more vulnerable with 1.35 goals conceded
  • Identical top form: Both teams enter the match with a record of 4 wins from the last 5 games, suggesting a balanced encounter
风险因素
  • Sassuolo's home weakness: The team concedes an average of 1.58 goals per game at home, making them particularly vulnerable
  • Key defensive absence: Sassuolo must manage without suspended defender Sebastian Walukiewicz, which could further weaken their backline
概述

Sassuolo (9th place, 35 points) hosts Atalanta (7th place, 45 points) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

The Serie A match takes place on March 1, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams are in strong form, competing for important points in the midfield of the table

近期状态

Both teams are showing impressive form

Sassuolo's form in the last five games: WWLWW (4 wins, 1 loss)

Atalanta's form in the last five games: WWLWW (4 wins, 1 loss)

Both teams enter the match with a two-game winning streak

统计数据

Atalanta has a stronger attack (1.38 goals per game) than Sassuolo (1.23 goals per game)

Defensively, Atalanta is significantly more stable, conceding only 0.85 goals per game, while Sassuolo concedes 1.35

Sassuolo's defense is particularly vulnerable at home (1.58 goals conceded per game)

Atalanta has kept 10 clean sheets, Sassuolo has 6

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Atalanta had the upper hand with 3 wins to Sassuolo's 2

There have been no draws in this period

The last meeting was a 3-0 victory for Atalanta

In total, 13 goals were scored, averaging 2.6 goals per game

关键球员

Domenico Berardi is a key player for Sassuolo with 7 goals and 3 assists

Andrea Pinamonti has also contributed with 6 goals and 3 assists

For Atalanta, Nikola Krstović is the top scorer with 7 goals and 4 assists

Mario Pašalić is an important midfielder with 3 goals and 4 assists

门将

Sassuolo's goalkeeper is Arijanet Murić, who has kept 6 clean sheets this season

Atalanta's goal is defended by Marco Carnesecchi, who has already kept 10 clean sheets

影响因素

Sassuolo is defensively vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per game

Atalanta is stable away from home, conceding only 1.1 goals on average

The MAPEI Stadium has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last five matches

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