Serie A
Hellas Verona - Napoli
02/28/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.7
1.9
0:2
12%1:1
12%1:2
10%0:3
7%1:3
6%xG 分解
Hellas Verona
Napoli
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
14%
平局
25%
客胜
61%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
39%
客胜或平局
86%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Gap in class: Third-placed Napoli faces bottom-of-the-table Hellas Verona, who are winless in their last five games
- Offensive superiority: Napoli's attack, averaging 1.5 goals and 5.0 shots on target per game, is vastly superior to Verona's (0.73 goals, 1.8 shots on target)
- Critical absences for Verona: The home team is missing players responsible for almost 90% of their season's goals, further crippling their already weak offense
风险因素
- Decimated Napoli offense: The visitors are also heavily weakened, with players responsible for 64% of their season's goals not in the squad
- Verona's weakness at home: Averaging only 0.73 goals scored per home game, Verona poses a very limited offensive threat
概述
Hellas Verona (20th place, 15 points) host Napoli (3rd place, 50 points) at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Serie A match on February 28, 2026, 6:00 PM
The scenario is clear: a relegation candidate meets a title contender, with the mathematical analysis giving Napoli a 61% chance of winning
近期状态
Hellas Verona's form (all competitions): LLDLL
The team is winless in 5 games (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Napoli's form is WWDDL
In the last 5 matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
统计数据
A clear contrast in attack: Napoli scores an average of 1.5 goals per game, while Hellas Verona only manages 0.73
Defensively, Napoli is also more solid, conceding 1.04 goals per game compared to Verona's 1.77
Hellas Verona has failed to score in 13 of their 26 league games this season
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli has dominated with 3 wins to Hellas Verona's one, with one draw
The goal difference is 9-7 in favor of Napoli
The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
Victor Nelsson is a key player in Verona's defense with 26 appearances
In midfield, Cheikh Niasse is a regular with 19 appearances
For Napoli, forward Rasmus Højlund stands out, having contributed 8 goals and 2 assists this season
Stanislav Lobotka sets the pace in midfield with 22 appearances
门将
Hellas Verona's goalkeeper, Lorenzo Montipò, has kept 5 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Vanja Milinković-Savić, has 9 clean sheets for Napoli
影响因素
Hellas Verona is somewhat more stable defensively at home, conceding an average of 1.27 goals per game compared to 2.45 away
Recent games at the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi have been relatively high-scoring, with an average of 2.6 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of the last 5 home matches