Serie A
Lecce - Cremonese
03/08/2026, 11:30 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Lecce
Cremonese
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
32%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Prediction Advantage: The mathematical analysis sees Lecce as favorites for a win with 42%
- Cremonese's Form Slump: Cremonese's goal production is significantly below their season average of 1.0, with only 0.3 goals per game recently
- Defensive Strength: Lecce concedes an average of only 1.29 goals at home, while Cremonese allows 1.62 goals away
风险因素
- Low Goal Threat: Both teams employ a counter-oriented style with an average of only 2.6 (Lecce) and 3.2 (Cremonese) shots on target per game
- Home Offensive Weakness: Lecce scores only an average of 0.64 goals per home game
概述
Lecce (18th place, 24 points) hosts Cremonese (16th place, 24 points) at Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A match on March 8, 2026, 12:30 PM
Both teams are deeply involved in the relegation battle and fighting for crucial points
近期状态
Lecce's current form (LWWLL) shows two wins and three losses in their last five matches across all competitions
They have suffered two consecutive losses recently
Cremonese (LLDLL) has not managed a win in their last five matches, with one draw and four losses
Cremonese has also recorded two consecutive losses recently
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Lecce scores an average of 0.67 goals per game and concedes 1.33 goals
At home, they score 0.64 and concede 1.29 goals per home game
Cremonese averages 0.78 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded
Away, Cremonese scores 0.77 goals and concedes 1.62 goals per away game
Lecce kept 8 clean sheets this season, while Cremonese managed 7
Both teams scored in 9 of Lecce's games and 11 of Cremonese's games
At Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, the last five matches averaged 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the five previous head-to-head encounters, Lecce won twice, Cremonese won twice, and there was one draw
The goal difference is 7:5 in favor of Cremonese
The last meeting on December 7, 2025, saw Lecce win 2:0 away
关键球员
Lameck Banda is a key offensive player for Lecce with 3 goals and 3 assists
Lassana Coulibaly contributes to the midfield with 3 goals and 1 assist, showing a rising form trend
Nikola Stulic has scored 2 goals this season
For Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli is a crucial forward with 5 goals and 2 assists, though his form is declining
Jamie Vardy also scored 5 goals and 1 assist, with his form also showing a negative trend
Jari Vandeputte has provided 4 assists
门将
Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce played in 27 season matches and kept 8 clean sheets
Emil Audero for Cremonese made 23 appearances and achieved 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Lecce's home advantage is reflected in 0.64 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per home game
The Comunale Via del Mare stadium tends to be low-scoring, averaging 2.0 goals per match