🇮🇹

Serie A

Bologna - Hellas Verona

03/08/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Bologna
1.4
Total xG
2.1
Hellas Verona
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

0:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

13%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
BOLHV

Bologna

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.19
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第20位, 相差12位)
+0.08
Riccardo Orsolini未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
Jens Odgaard未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Remo Freuler未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

Hellas Verona

防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.98
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第8位, 相差12位)
-0.09
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

30%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

70%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Form disparity: Bologna boasts a 5-game winning streak, while Hellas Verona has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Defensive vulnerability: Hellas Verona concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away game
  • Home advantage and H2H record: The pipeline analysis predicts a home win for Bologna with 55% probability, supported by 4 wins in the last 5 head-to-head matches
风险因素
  • Bologna is missing key players such as Riccardo Orsolini (7 goals, 1 assist), Jens Odgaard (5 goals, 1 assist), and Remo Freuler (0 goals, 2 assists), reducing the usual starting XI's goal threat by 35%
  • Hellas Verona generates only 1.4 shots on target per game (few attempts), indicating a lack of offensive threat
  • The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara averages only 1.6 goals per game, which might suggest a low-scoring match
概述

Bologna (8th place, 39 points) host Hellas Verona (20th place, 15 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Serie A match on March 8, 2026, 3:00 PM. Bologna are fighting for international spots, while Hellas Verona are in a relegation battle.

近期状态

Bologna are in excellent form, having won their last 5 games (WWWWW). With 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, the team shows an impressive run of 5 consecutive victories. Hellas Verona, on the other hand, are in poor form with 1 draw and 4 losses (LDLLL). The team has lost their last 3 games and recorded no wins in their last 5 matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Bologna averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.19 goals per game. At home, the average is 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Hellas Verona averages only 0.74 goals scored per game and concedes 1.78 goals per game. Their away defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding 2.45 goals per game. Bologna kept 8 clean sheets, Hellas Verona 5. At the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, the last 5 games saw an average of 1.6 goals per match. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna has had the upper hand. Bologna won 4 games and Hellas Verona won 1 game, with 0 draws. Bologna scored 11 goals, while Hellas Verona scored 6 goals. The last encounter on January 15, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for Bologna.

关键球员

For Bologna, Santiago Castro (7 goals, 2 assists, rising form), Federico Bernardeschi (2 goals, 1 assist), and Nikola Moro (2 goals, 0 assists, 1 assist in last 5 games) are important players. Hellas Verona relies on Gift Orban (7 goals, 1 assist, 1 goal in last 5 games), Roberto Gagliardini (1 goal, rising form), and Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro (1 goal).

门将

Bologna's goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski had 8 clean sheets in 15 season appearances. Hellas Verona's goalkeeper Lorenzo Montipò played in 24 games and managed 5 clean sheets for his team.

影响因素

Bologna plays at their home ground, Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, where the last 5 games saw an average of 1.6 goals. Both teams scored in 20% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 20%. Bologna scored an average of 1.3 goals at home and conceded 1.4 goals. Hellas Verona concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away game.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。