Serie A
AC Milan - Inter
03/08/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
AC Milan
Inter
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
30%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis slightly favors Inter with a 38% win probability
- AC Milan has secured 3 wins in the last five head-to-head matches, while Inter has none
- Inter's offense is strong with an average of 2.36 away goals per game, despite Lautaro Martínez's absence
风险因素
- The absence of Lautaro Martínez for Inter (14 goals, 4 assists) weakens their offense
- Inter's goal production has recently declined slightly (1.5 goals/game in the last 5 games compared to a 2.3 season average)
- AC Milan recently lost 0-1 at home against Parma, despite the xG model predicting 2.07 expected goals
概述
AC Milan (2nd place, 57 points) host Inter (1st place, 67 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a Serie A top-of-the-table clash
Kick-off is on March 8, 2026, 8:45 PM
The Rossoneri aim to close the 10-point gap to the league leaders
近期状态
AC Milan shows a form of WWDLW in their last five games, corresponding to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Most recently, they secured a 2-0 away win against Cremonese
Inter recorded a form of LWLWD in their last five games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Their recent matches ended in a 0-0 draw against Como and a 1-2 loss against Bodø / Glimt
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
AC Milan scores an average of 1.64 home goals per game and concedes 1.0 home goals
They kept 5 clean sheets in home games
Inter is strong offensively away from home, with an average of 2.36 goals per away game and conceding only 0.82 goals
Inter achieved 9 clean sheets in away matches
At Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, AC Milan emerged victorious 3 times, while Inter secured 0 wins, with 2 draws
The goal difference stands at 8:3 in favor of AC Milan
AC Milan won the last encounter on November 23, 2025, with a 1-0 score
关键球员
For AC Milan, Rafael Leão stands out with 9 goals and 2 assists
Christian Pulisic contributed 8 goals and 2 assists
Adrien Rabiot shows stable form with 1 goal and 1 assist in 180 minutes from his last 5 games
For Inter, Federico Dimarco is a key player with 6 goals and 14 assists
Ange-Yoan Bonny scored 5 goals and 3 assists, showing a rising form trend
Piotr Zieliński has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist
门将
Mike Maignan of AC Milan has achieved 12 clean sheets in 26 season appearances
Yann Sommer, Inter's goalkeeper, boasts 15 clean sheets in 25 season appearances
影响因素
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza has seen an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 games
The grass pitch will be used
AC Milan scores an average of 1.64 goals at home and concedes 1.0 goals
Inter scores an average of 2.36 goals away and concedes 0.82 goals