Serie A
Fiorentina - Parma
03/08/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Fiorentina
Parma
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
27%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 50% win probability for Fiorentina
- Parma has a solid defense, conceding an average of 1.19 goals per game this season
- Fiorentina's home statistics show an offensive performance of 1.12 goals per home game
风险因素
- Fiorentina has suffered losses in their last two matches
- Parma has been the more dominant team in the last five direct encounters
- Fiorentina has conceded an average of 1.56 goals per game this season
概述
Fiorentina (17th place, 24 points) host Parma (12th place, 33 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. The Serie A match is on March 8, 2026, 4:00 PM. Fiorentina is fighting relegation, while Parma aims to consolidate its mid-table position.
近期状态
Fiorentina's form across all competitions is WWWLL (3 wins, 2 losses in their last 5 games), including two consecutive losses. Parma's form is LWWWD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last 5 games). Their last result was a draw.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fiorentina averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per game (Home: 1.12 goals / 1.19 goals conceded). Parma averages 0.74 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per match (Away: 0.75 goals / 1.08 goals conceded). Fiorentina had 18 BTTS and 17 Over 2.5 matches. Parma had 11 BTTS and 9 Over 2.5 matches. The Stadio Artemio Franchi saw an average of 3.6 goals per game, with 80% BTTS and 80% Over 2.5.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina has 0 wins, Parma has 1 win, and there were 4 draws. Fiorentina scored 6 goals, and Parma scored 7 goals. The last encounter saw Parma win 1-0 on December 27, 2025. Parma has been dominant in recent encounters.
关键球员
Fiorentina: Nicolò Fagioli (24 appearances, 1 goal, 3 assists) shows rising form with a 7.68 rating in the last 5 games. Rolando Mandragora (26 appearances, 6 goals, 1 assist) and Albert Gudmundsson (23 appearances, 4 goals, 3 assists) are crucial.
Parma: Mateo Pellegrino (27 appearances, 7 goals, 1 assist) is the top scorer. Mandela Keita shows rising form (7.11 rating last 5 games). Alessandro Circati is a solid defender (20 appearances, Avg. 6.95).
门将
Fiorentina's David de Gea has played in 27 matches (Team 4 clean sheets). Parma's Edoardo Corvi played in 15 matches (Team 9 clean sheets).
影响因素
Fiorentina benefits from home advantage. The Stadio Artemio Franchi is known for high-scoring games, averaging 3.6 goals per game. 80% of matches saw both teams score and ended with over 2.5 goals.