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Serie A

Cagliari - Como

03/07/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Cagliari
0.6
Total xG
2.2
Como
1.6
最可能的比分

0:1

17%

0:2

15%

0:0

12%

1:1

12%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
CAGCOM

Cagliari

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-1.00
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第5位, 相差8位)
-0.05
Gianluca Gaetano未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Semih Kılıçsoy未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Luca Mazzitelli未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

Como

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍)
+0.59
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.30
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.18
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第13位, 相差8位)
+0.06
Martin Baturina未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Maxence Caqueret未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

11%

平局

27%

客胜

62%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

38%

客胜或平局

89%

非平局

73%

双方进球

36%

64%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a high win probability of 62% for Como
  • Como's Away Strength: Averaging 1.67 goals scored and conceding only 0.83 goals per away game
  • Cagliari's Poor Form: With WLLDD in the last five games and only 1 win
风险因素
  • Cagliari's Offensive: Averaging only 3.0 shots on target per game, indicating a lack of efficiency
  • Low-Scoring Matches at the Venue: Sardegna Arena shows a BTTS rate of 0% and an Over 2.5 rate of 20% in the last 5 games
概述

Cagliari (13th place, 30 points) host Como (5th place, 48 points) at the Sardegna Arena. The Serie A match takes place on March 7, 2026, 3:00 PM. While Cagliari battles against relegation, Como aims to solidify its position in the European spots

近期状态

Cagliari's form in their last five competitive matches is WLLDD, which translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Como's current form is LDWWD, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The away team has a slightly better recent form. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cagliari averages 1.07 home goals and concedes 1.07 home goals per game. Como shows a strong away performance, averaging 1.67 goals scored and conceding only 0.83 goals. At Sardegna Arena, there's an average of 1.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 0 out of 5 matches, and 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Cagliari secured 1 win, Como achieved 1 win, and there were 3 draws. The goal difference is even at 5:5. The last match on November 8, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

关键球员

For Cagliari, key players include Sebastiano Esposito (3 goals, 5 assists), Marco Palestra (1 goal, 4 assists), and Michael Folorunsho (2 goals, 0 assists). Como's crucial players are Nico Paz (9 goals, 6 assists), Anastasios Douvikas (9 goals, 1 assist), and Máximo Perrone (2 goals, 4 assists). For Cagliari, Gianluca Gaetano (2G/3A), Semih Kılıçsoy (4G/0A), and Luca Mazzitelli (2G/2A) are not in the lineup. For Como, Martin Baturina (4G/3A) and Maxence Caqueret (2G/4A) are not in the lineup

门将

Elia Caprile is Cagliari's goalkeeper, recording 6 clean sheets this season. Jean Butez is Como's goalkeeper, who has kept 13 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Sardegna Arena is known for typically low-scoring matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game. In the last 5 games at this venue, both teams did not score, and only one game had over 2.5 goals. Cagliari averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded in home games. Como scores 1.67 goals and concedes 0.83 goals per away game

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