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Serie A

Lazio - Sassuolo

03/09/2026, 07:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Lazio
1.2
Total xG
2.7
Sassuolo
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
LAZSAS

Lazio

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.14
防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.09

Sassuolo

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.23
Andrea Pinamonti未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Nemanja Matic未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

28%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts an away win for Sassuolo with 44% probability
  • Sassuolo's Resurgence: The visitors show a positive form trend, currently scoring more (2.0) than their season average (1.3)
  • Lazio's Offensive Weakness: Goal production is stagnant (0.8), with a negative form trend and fewer shots on target (3.2)
风险因素
  • Lazio's striker Andrea Pinamonti (6 goals, 3 assists) is absent due to injury
  • Lazio's goal production is currently stagnant (0.8) compared to the season average (1.2) with a negative trend
  • Lazio creates few clear scoring opportunities, averaging only 3.2 shots on target
概述

Lazio (11th place, 34 points) hosts Sassuolo (9th place, 38 points) at the Stadio Olimpico for a Serie A match on March 9, 2026, 8:45 PM. Sassuolo is four points ahead of the hosts, with both teams vying for a better mid-table position.

近期状态

Lazio shows poor form with DLDLD in their last five games (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Their last match was a 2-2 draw against Atalanta. Sassuolo, however, is in strong form with WLWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Sassuolo recently won 2-1 against Atalanta and is on a 3-game winning streak. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Lazio scores an average of 0.96 goals per game this season and concedes 1.00 goals. At home, they score 0.95 goals per home game and concede 0.84 goals. The team kept 12 clean sheets and failed to score in 14 games. For Lazio, 6 games ended with both teams scoring and 7 games had over 2.5 goals. Sassuolo scores an average of 1.26 goals per game and concedes 1.33 goals. Away from home, they score 1.31 goals and concede 1.23 goals. Sassuolo achieved 6 clean sheets and failed to score in 9 games. 13 games ended with both teams scoring and 15 games had over 2.5 goals. At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game, and both teams score in 40% of matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of games.

历史交锋

In the last five direct league encounters, there have been 5 matches. Lazio recorded 3 wins, while Sassuolo achieved 1 win. One match ended in a draw. The goal difference is 7:2 in favor of Lazio. The last encounter on September 14, 2025, saw Sassuolo win away with a 1-0 score.

关键球员

For Lazio, Danilo Cataldi (3 goals, 3 assists) and Gustav Isaksen (3 goals, 1 assist) are important attacking players. Mattia Zaccagni (3 goals) is also a key player. For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi (7 goals, 3 assists) and Armand Laurienté (4 goals, 7 assists) are crucial for the offense. Ismaël Koné (5 goals) also contributes significantly to the goal threat. Not nominated for Sassuolo are Andrea Pinamonti (6G/3A) and Nemanja Matic (1G/1A), which reduces the usual starting eleven strength to 79%.

门将

Lazio's goalkeeper is Edoardo Motta. Lazio has kept a total of 12 clean sheets this season. For Sassuolo, Arijanet Murić is in goal. Sassuolo has recorded 6 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Lazio's home goals average 0.95 per game, while goals conceded are at 0.84. Sassuolo scores an average of 1.31 goals away from home and concedes 1.23 goals. At the Stadio Olimpico, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game, and both teams score in 40% of matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of games.

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