Serie A
Inter - Atalanta
03/14/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
2.5
3.5
1.0
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
8%4:1
5%2:2
5%xG 分解
Inter
Atalanta
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
68%
平局
19%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
32%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of 68% for an Inter home win
- Head-to-head dominance: Inter won all 5 direct encounters with a goal difference of 13:1
- Home strength: Inter scores an average of 2.24 goals at home and concedes only 0.71 goals
风险因素
- Inter's goal production is currently slowing down with Avg. 1.3 goals, compared to the season average of Avg. 2.2 goals
- Atalanta is currently scoring more frequently with Avg. 2.0 goals, compared to the season average of Avg. 1.6 goals
概述
Inter (1st place, 67 points) host Atalanta (7th place, 46 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A match on March 14, 2026, 3:00 PM
Inter are clear league leaders and aim to extend their lead
近期状态
Inter's form in the last five games is WLWDL
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in this period
According to advanced statistics, Inter's goal production is currently slowing down (Avg. 1.3 goals), while the season average is Avg. 2.2 goals
Atalanta's form in the last five matches is WLDDL
Atalanta recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses during this time
The team is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.0 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.6 goals)
统计数据
Inter scores an average of 2.29 goals per game and concedes 0.79 goals
At home, they are also strong offensively with an average of 2.24 goals scored and defensively solid with 0.71 goals conceded
Atalanta has a season average of 1.39 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded
Away from home, Atalanta's goal average is 1.36 and goals conceded is 1.18 per game
Inter kept 15 clean sheets so far, Atalanta 10
At this venue, an average of 1.8 goals per game were scored
In 40% of the last matches at this venue, both teams scored, and in 20% over 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
Inter completely dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches
Inter won all 5 encounters, while Atalanta secured no wins and there were no draws
The goal difference of 13:1 clearly favors Inter
The last meeting on December 28, 2025, ended with a 1-0 away win for Inter
关键球员
For Inter, Federico Dimarco (6 goals, 14 assists), Marcus Thuram (7 goals, 3 assists), and Nicolò Barella (1 goal, 5 assists) are key performers
For Atalanta, Gianluca Scamacca (8 goals, 1 assist), Mario Pašalić (3 goals, 4 assists), and Nicola Zalewski (2 goals, 4 assists) stand out
Not nominated for Inter are Alessandro Bastoni (1G/4A), Luis Henrique (1G/2A), and Henrikh Mkhitaryan (2G/1A)
For Atalanta, C. De Ketelaere (3G/3A) is not nominated
门将
Inter goalkeeper Yann Sommer recorded 15 clean sheets this season
Atalanta goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi kept a clean sheet in 10 matches
影响因素
Inter holds a home advantage with an average of 2.24 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded in their home stadium
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza has seen an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent matches