Serie A
Napoli - Lecce
03/14/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.7
0.8
1:1
12%2:0
12%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Napoli
Lecce
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
60%
平局
25%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Prediction Advantage: The mathematical analysis clearly favors Napoli with a 60% win probability, expecting 1.84 goals for Napoli compared to 0.82 for Lecce
- Historical Dominance: Napoli has won 4 out of 5 direct encounters against Lecce, conceding no goals (7:0 goals)
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Napoli's strong home performance (1.53 goals, 0.8 goals conceded) meets Lecce's weak away offense (0.69 goals)
风险因素
- Lecce's limited offensive threat with an average of only 2.8 shots on target per game
- Napoli showed vulnerability in two of their last five home games, ending in draws
- Limited data availability for duel statistics of both teams' last 5 matches
概述
Napoli (3rd place, 56 points) host Lecce (16th place, 27 points) at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. The Serie A match takes place on March 14, 2026, 6:00 PM. Napoli aims to consolidate its position in the top half of the table and maintain the gap to the Champions League spots. Lecce is fighting for crucial points to move away from the relegation zone.
近期状态
Napoli's form in the last five games is DDLWW. This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Napoli has won their last two matches.
Lecce's form in the last five games is WWLLW. This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses. Lecce won their last match.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Napoli averages 1.54 goals scored per game and concedes 1.04 goals per game. At home, they average 1.53 goals scored and concede 0.8 goals.
Lecce averages only 0.71 goals scored per game and concedes 1.32 goals. Away from home, they average 0.69 goals scored and concede 1.38 goals.
At the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw. Lecce failed to win any of these games. The goal difference clearly favors Napoli at 7:0. The last encounter on October 28, 2025, ended in a 1:0 victory for Napoli.
关键球员
For Napoli, Rasmus Højund is a key player with 9 season goals and 2 assists, and his form trend is rising.
Frank Anguissa contributes to the midfield with 4 season goals and 1 assist, and his form is stable.
Mathías Olivera has provided 2 assists in his last 5 games and shows a rising form trend.
For Lecce, Lameck Banda is important for the offense with 3 season goals and 3 assists, and his form is stable.
Lassana Coulibaly scored 3 season goals and 1 assist, and his form is stable.
Nikola Stulic scored 3 times this season and his form is stable.
门将
Alex Meret for Napoli has played 8 games this season, and his team recorded a total of 9 clean sheets.
Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce made 28 appearances this season, and his team kept 8 clean sheets.
影响因素
Napoli holds a clear home advantage at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, where the team scores an average of 1.53 home goals and concedes only 0.8 goals.
The stadium is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.4 goals per match. Both teams scored in all of the last 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the games.
The match is played on grass.