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Serie A

Torino - Parma

03/13/2026, 07:45 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Torino
1.6
Total xG
2.6
Parma
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
TORPAR

Torino

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Cesare Casadei替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Valentino Lazaro替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Guillermo Maripán替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Parma

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.30
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.12
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.07
Adrián Bernabé未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Sascha Britschgi未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

28%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

72%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Pipeline analysis: The mathematical probability for a Torino home win is 48%
  • Form difference: Parma is unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws), while Torino only managed 1 win
  • Defensive weakness: Torino concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game this season
风险因素
  • Parma is missing Adrián Bernabé (3G/1A) and Sascha Britschgi (0G/2A), accounting for 20% of their usual goal threat
  • Parma scores an average of only 0.69 goals per away game
  • Parma has an average of only 3.2 shots on target per game
概述

Torino (15th place, 30 points) host Parma (12th place, 34 points) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. The Serie A match takes place on March 13, 2026, 8:45 PM. Torino is fighting against relegation, while Parma aims to maintain its mid-table position.

近期状态

Torino's form in the last five games is DLLWL

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The team achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The last result was a loss

Parma's form in the last five games is WWWDD

The team recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses

The last result was a draw, and the team has achieved two consecutive draws

统计数据

Torino has scored an average of 1.00 goals per game this season and conceded 1.75 goals per game

Parma has a goal average of 0.71 per game and concedes 1.14 goals per game

Torino kept 10 clean sheets, and Parma also kept 10 clean sheets

At home, Torino scored 15 goals and conceded 22 goals

Parma scored 9 goals away and conceded 13 goals

Statistics from the last 5 games at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino show an average of 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches, Torino secured 2 wins, Parma 1 win, and there were 2 draws

Torino scored 7 goals, while Parma scored 4 goals

The last encounter on September 29, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Parma

The home team has recently dominated the direct encounters

关键球员

For Torino, Nikola Vlašić (Midfielder) is a key figure with 6 goals and 3 assists and a season average rating of 6.95

Giovanni Simeone (Attacker) contributed 6 goals, his season average rating is 6.82, his form is declining

Ché Adams (Attacker) scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists, with a season average rating of 6.86, his form is stable

For Parma, Mateo Pellegrino (Attacker) stands out with 7 goals and 1 assist and a season average rating of 6.83

Christian Ordóñez (Midfielder) scored 1 goal and has a rising form

Alessandro Circati (Defender) scored 1 goal and has a season average rating of 6.94

门将

Torino's goalkeeper Alberto Paleari kept 10 clean sheets this season

Parma's goalkeeper Zion Suzuki also achieved 10 clean sheets

影响因素

Torino has scored an average of 1.00 goals per home game and conceded 1.47 goals per home game

Parma scored an average of 0.69 goals per away game and conceded 1.00 goals per away game

The Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches

The playing surface is grass

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